Final (SO) · All games

WSH 2 – 3 BOS

Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
BOS 51%
Expected score
3.0 – 3.1
Market
—
Venue
TD Garden
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

BOS win51%WSH 49%
FinishesBOS reg 39% · OT/SO 12%WSH reg 39% · OT/SO 11%
Most likely finalsWSH 2–3 BOS (6%) · WSH 3–2 BOS (6%) · WSH 3–4 BOS (5%)
Club ratings (Elo)BOS 1532 · WSH 1542by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

WSH · expected (depth chart)

Logan Thompson

Goalie rating 1561 (top tenth of the league) · +46.9 saved above expected on 2462 shots last season
BOS · expected (depth chart)

Jeremy Swayman

Goalie rating 1563 (top tenth of the league) · +35.9 saved above expected on 2429 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

WSH

Washington Capitals

Head coach Spencer Carbery

L1 Alex Tuch (top tenth of the league) · Pierre-Luc Dubois (below the league middle) · Tom Wilson (above the league middle)

L2 Alex Ovechkin (below the league middle) · Dylan Strome (above the league middle) · Ryan Leonard (above the league middle)

L3 Aliaksei Protas (below the league middle) · Ilya Protas · Jordan Kyrou (below the league middle)

D1 Jakob Chychrun (top tenth of the league) · Matt Roy (below the league middle)

D2 Martin Fehervary (above the league middle) · Timothy Liljegren (below the league middle)

PP1 Tom Wilson (above the league middle) · Dylan Strome (above the league middle) · Pierre-Luc Dubois (below the league middle) · Alex Ovechkin (below the league middle) · Jakob Chychrun (top tenth of the league)

BOS

Boston Bruins

Head coach Marco Sturm

L1 JJ Peterka (top tenth of the league) · Elias Lindholm (below the league middle) · David Pastrnak (above the league middle)

L2 Casey Mittelstadt (above the league middle) · Pavel Zacha (top tenth of the league) · Morgan Geekie (top tenth of the league)

L3 James Hagens · Fraser Minten (above the league middle) · Marat Khusnutdinov (above the league middle)

D1 Hampus Lindholm (below the league middle) · William Borgen (above the league middle)

D2 Nikita Zadorov (below the league middle) · Connor Clifton

PP1 JJ Peterka (top tenth of the league) · Morgan Geekie (top tenth of the league) · Pavel Zacha (top tenth of the league) · David Pastrnak (above the league middle) · Hampus Lindholm (below the league middle)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

WSH · 1 out

Washington Capitals

Rasmus Sandin (D): Out For Season (knee), listed since 2026-04-20, expected back 2026-12-21

BOS · 0 out

Boston Bruins

Nobody listed.

Goals · the league's own clips

5 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

WSH · P1 08:48 · J. Brodzinski (I. Miroshnichenko, J. Dunne) · clip

BOS · P2 15:32 · J. Schmaltz (R. Duran) · PP · clip

WSH · P3 05:34 · I. Miroshnichenko · clip

BOS · P3 18:17 · C. McAvoy (F. Minten, M. Poitras) · clip

BOS · P5 00:00 · J. Hagens · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger