Effective rules
Publication, correction, supersession, and applicability are temporal.
Preparing the decision deskLoading
Versioned rules, model cards, sources, corrections, incidents, and limitations.
Canonical storage responded and verified source health was read.
Publication, correction, supersession, and applicability are temporal.
Intended use, training cutoff, calibration, limitations, and drift.
Material corrections preserve the prior assertion and evidence.
CapOrCup does not flatten “true,” “projected,” “believed,” and “argued” into the same feed.
Executed agreements, official registries, notices, reports, and authorized feeds.
Neutral calculations, research, rule interpretation, and model output with versions.
Contract-authorized aggregate belief is labelled as market evidence, never an official event.
Attributed third-party opinion stays visibly separate from neutral analysis.
Missing, stale, disputed, withheld, and unavailable are first-class states. See the methodology, source registry, and correction ledger.