Final · All games
OTT 1 – 6 TOR
Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.
- Model
- OTT 64%
- Expected score
- 3.4 – 2.7
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Scotiabank Arena
Pre-game price
What the model says
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Linus Ullmark
Sergei Bobrovsky
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Ottawa Senators
L1 William Eklund (bottom tenth of the league) · Tim Stutzle (above the league middle) · Fabian Zetterlund (above the league middle)
L2 Andre Burakovsky (below the league middle) · Dylan Cozens (below the league middle) · Drake Batherson (top tenth of the league)
L3 Ridly Greig (below the league middle) · Shane Pinto (below the league middle) · Michael Amadio (above the league middle)
D1 Jake Sanderson (top tenth of the league) · Artem Zub (above the league middle)
D2 Thomas Chabot (above the league middle) · Jordan Spence (above the league middle)
PP1 Drake Batherson (top tenth of the league) · Tim Stutzle (above the league middle) · Dylan Cozens (below the league middle) · Jake Sanderson (top tenth of the league) · William Eklund (bottom tenth of the league)
Toronto Maple Leafs
L1 Matthew Knies (below the league middle) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle) · Jack Roslovic (above the league middle)
L2 Gavin McKenna · John Tavares (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league)
L3 Bo Groulx · Colton Sissons (below the league middle) · Easton Cowan (above the league middle)
D1 Morgan Rielly (above the league middle) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league)
D2 Jake McCabe (above the league middle) · Chris Tanev
PP1 Jack Roslovic (above the league middle) · John Tavares (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle)
Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Ottawa Senators
Nobody listed.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Elvis Merzlikins (G): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-08-20, expected back 2026-11-30
Max Domi (C): Out (back), listed since 2026-09-11, expected back 2026-11-03
Goals · the league's own clips
7 goals
Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.
OTT · P1 06:35 · T. Stützle (A. Burakovsky, C. Kyrou) · clip
TOR · P1 07:45 · J. McCabe (J. Tavares, J. Roslovic) · clip
TOR · P1 19:09 · J. Tavares (W. Nylander, G. McKenna) · clip
TOR · P2 04:49 · J. Roslovic (J. Tavares, A. Matthews) · PP · clip
TOR · P2 16:53 · Z. MacEwen (E. Cowan) · clip
TOR · P2 19:13 · M. Rielly (D. Raddysh, A. Matthews) · clip
TOR · P3 06:10 · A. Matthews (J. Roslovic, O. Ekman-Larsson) · clip
Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger