Final · All games
TOR 4 – 2 OTT
Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.
- Model
- OTT 70%
- Expected score
- 2.5 – 3.6
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Canadian Tire Centre
Pre-game price
What the model says
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Sergei Bobrovsky
Linus Ullmark
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Toronto Maple Leafs
L1 Matthew Knies (below the league middle) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle) · Jack Roslovic (above the league middle)
L2 Gavin McKenna · John Tavares (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league)
L3 Bo Groulx · Colton Sissons (below the league middle) · Easton Cowan (above the league middle)
D1 Morgan Rielly (above the league middle) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league)
D2 Jake McCabe (above the league middle) · Chris Tanev
PP1 Jack Roslovic (above the league middle) · John Tavares (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle)
Ottawa Senators
L1 William Eklund (bottom tenth of the league) · Tim Stutzle (above the league middle) · Fabian Zetterlund (above the league middle)
L2 Andre Burakovsky (below the league middle) · Dylan Cozens (below the league middle) · Drake Batherson (top tenth of the league)
L3 Ridly Greig (below the league middle) · Shane Pinto (below the league middle) · Michael Amadio (above the league middle)
D1 Jake Sanderson (top tenth of the league) · Artem Zub (above the league middle)
D2 Thomas Chabot (above the league middle) · Jordan Spence (above the league middle)
PP1 Drake Batherson (top tenth of the league) · Tim Stutzle (above the league middle) · Dylan Cozens (below the league middle) · Jake Sanderson (top tenth of the league) · William Eklund (bottom tenth of the league)
Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Elvis Merzlikins (G): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-08-20, expected back 2026-11-30
Max Domi (C): Out (back), listed since 2026-09-11, expected back 2026-11-03
Ottawa Senators
Nobody listed.
Goals · the league's own clips
6 goals
Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.
TOR · P2 03:51 · H. Rybinski (V. Lettieri, N. Blankenburg) · PP · clip
OTT · P2 06:18 · D. Cozens · clip
TOR · P3 10:01 · S. Lorentz (M. Rifai, B. Duhaime) · clip
OTT · P3 10:42 · H. Stanley (T. Hamara, C. Giroux) · clip
TOR · P3 15:43 · R. Tverberg (J. Quillan, B. Smith) · clip
TOR · P3 19:52 · T. Blueger · PP · empty net · clip
Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger