Final · All games

EDM 2 – 1 VAN

Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
EDM 65%
Expected score
3.5 – 2.6
Market
—
Venue
Rogers Arena
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

VAN win35%EDM 65%
FinishesVAN reg 26% · OT/SO 9%EDM reg 52% · OT/SO 13%
Most likely finalsEDM 3–2 VAN (7%) · EDM 4–1 VAN (6%) · EDM 4–3 VAN (6%)
Club ratings (Elo)VAN 1354 · EDM 1504by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

EDM · expected (depth chart)

Tristan Jarry

Goalie rating 1468 (bottom tenth of the league) · -2.9 saved above expected on 1309 shots last season
VAN · expected (depth chart)

Kevin Lankinen

Goalie rating 1472 (below the league middle) · -14.8 saved above expected on 1936 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

EDM

Edmonton Oilers

Head coach Mike Babcock

L1 Leon Draisaitl (top tenth of the league) · Connor McDavid (above the league middle) · Vasily Podkolzin (above the league middle)

L2 Isaac Howard · Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (above the league middle) · Zach Hyman (below the league middle)

L3 Max Jones · Trent Frederic (bottom tenth of the league) · Kasperi Kapanen (above the league middle)

D1 Mattias Ekholm (below the league middle) · Evan Bouchard (above the league middle)

D2 Jake Walman (above the league middle) · Connor Murphy (above the league middle)

PP1 Zach Hyman (below the league middle) · Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (above the league middle) · Leon Draisaitl (top tenth of the league) · Evan Bouchard (above the league middle) · Connor McDavid (above the league middle)

VAN

Vancouver Canucks

Head coach Manny Malhotra

L1 Jake DeBrusk (bottom tenth of the league) · Elias Pettersson (below the league middle) · Jonathan Lekkerimäki

L2 Liam Ohgren (above the league middle) · Marco Rossi (above the league middle) · Brock Boeser (above the league middle)

L3 Drew O'Connor (below the league middle) · Max Sasson (top tenth of the league) · Linus Karlsson (below the league middle)

D1 Zeev Buium (above the league middle) · Filip Hronek (above the league middle)

D2 Jamie Oleksiak (above the league middle) · Tom Willander (above the league middle)

PP1 Jake DeBrusk (bottom tenth of the league) · Marco Rossi (above the league middle) · Brock Boeser (above the league middle) · Filip Hronek (above the league middle) · Elias Pettersson (above the league middle)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

EDM · 3 out

Edmonton Oilers

Frederik Andersen (G): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-08-26, expected back 2026-10-20

Matt Savoie (C): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-08-26, expected back 2026-10-20

Mattias Janmark (C): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-02-26, expected back 2026-09-29

VAN · 2 out

Vancouver Canucks

Filip Chytil (C): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-09-24, expected back 2026-10-08

Thatcher Demko (G): Out (hip), listed since 2026-01-10, expected back 2026-09-29

Goals · the league's own clips

3 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

EDM · P1 03:58 · I. Howard (T. Cibulka) · clip

EDM · P2 04:28 · Q. Hutson (V. Marjala, I. Howard) · clip

VAN · P2 06:01 · L. Karlsson (Z. Buium, J. Lekkerimäki) · PP · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger