Final (OT) · All games

BOS 2 – 3 WSH

Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
WSH 63%
Expected score
2.7 – 3.4
Market
—
Venue
Capital One Arena
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

WSH win63%BOS 37%
FinishesWSH reg 51% · OT/SO 12%BOS reg 25% · OT/SO 11%
Most likely finalsBOS 2–3 WSH (7%) · BOS 1–4 WSH (6%) · BOS 3–4 WSH (6%)
Club ratings (Elo)WSH 1542 · BOS 1532by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

BOS · expected (depth chart)

Jeremy Swayman

Goalie rating 1563 (top tenth of the league) · +35.9 saved above expected on 2429 shots last season
WSH · expected (depth chart)

Logan Thompson

Goalie rating 1561 (top tenth of the league) · +46.9 saved above expected on 2462 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

BOS

Boston Bruins

Head coach Marco Sturm

L1 JJ Peterka (top tenth of the league) · Elias Lindholm (below the league middle) · David Pastrnak (above the league middle)

L2 Casey Mittelstadt (above the league middle) · Pavel Zacha (top tenth of the league) · Morgan Geekie (top tenth of the league)

L3 James Hagens · Fraser Minten (above the league middle) · Marat Khusnutdinov (above the league middle)

D1 Hampus Lindholm (below the league middle) · William Borgen (above the league middle)

D2 Nikita Zadorov (below the league middle) · Connor Clifton

PP1 JJ Peterka (top tenth of the league) · Morgan Geekie (top tenth of the league) · Pavel Zacha (top tenth of the league) · David Pastrnak (above the league middle) · Hampus Lindholm (below the league middle)

WSH

Washington Capitals

Head coach Spencer Carbery

L1 Alex Tuch (top tenth of the league) · Pierre-Luc Dubois (below the league middle) · Tom Wilson (above the league middle)

L2 Alex Ovechkin (below the league middle) · Dylan Strome (above the league middle) · Ryan Leonard (above the league middle)

L3 Aliaksei Protas (below the league middle) · Ilya Protas · Jordan Kyrou (below the league middle)

D1 Jakob Chychrun (top tenth of the league) · Matt Roy (below the league middle)

D2 Martin Fehervary (above the league middle) · Timothy Liljegren (below the league middle)

PP1 Tom Wilson (above the league middle) · Dylan Strome (above the league middle) · Pierre-Luc Dubois (below the league middle) · Alex Ovechkin (below the league middle) · Jakob Chychrun (top tenth of the league)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

BOS · 0 out

Boston Bruins

Nobody listed.

WSH · 1 out

Washington Capitals

Rasmus Sandin (D): Out For Season (knee), listed since 2026-04-20, expected back 2026-12-21

Goals · the league's own clips

5 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

WSH · P1 18:04 · D. Strome (T. Wilson, P. Dubois) · PP · clip

WSH · P2 01:39 · T. Wilson (P. Dubois, D. Strome) · PP · clip

BOS · P3 03:40 · M. Geekie (P. Zacha, C. Clifton) · clip

BOS · P3 05:56 · D. Pastrnak (J. Peterka, P. Zacha) · PP · clip

WSH · P4 00:11 · J. Kyrou (J. Chychrun) · PP · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger