Final · All games

DAL 2 – 1 MIN

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
MIN 52%
Expected score
3.0 – 3.1
Market
—
Venue
Grand Casino Arena
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

MIN win52%DAL 48%
FinishesMIN reg 40% · OT/SO 12%DAL reg 37% · OT/SO 11%
Most likely finalsDAL 2–3 MIN (7%) · DAL 3–2 MIN (6%) · DAL 3–4 MIN (5%)
Club ratings (Elo)MIN 1534 · DAL 1574by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

DAL · expected (depth chart)

Jake Oettinger

Goalie rating 1536 (above the league middle) · +15.1 saved above expected on 2079 shots last season
MIN · expected (depth chart)

Jesper Wallstedt

Goalie rating 1540 (above the league middle) · +13.2 saved above expected on 1527 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

DAL

Dallas Stars

Head coach Glen Gulutzan

L1 Justin Hryckowian (above the league middle) · Wyatt Johnston (top tenth of the league) · Mikko Rantanen (above the league middle)

L2 Jason Robertson (top tenth of the league) · Roope Hintz (bottom tenth of the league) · Tyler Seguin

L3 Sam Steel (above the league middle) · Matt Duchene (above the league middle) · Jamie Benn (above the league middle)

D1 Thomas Harley (below the league middle) · Miro Heiskanen (below the league middle)

D2 Esa Lindell (above the league middle) · Nils Lundkvist (above the league middle)

PP1 Mikko Rantanen (above the league middle) · Wyatt Johnston (top tenth of the league) · Matt Duchene (above the league middle) · Miro Heiskanen (below the league middle) · Jason Robertson (top tenth of the league)

MIN

Minnesota Wild

Head coach John Hynes

L1 Kirill Kaprizov (top tenth of the league) · Danila Yurov (above the league middle) · Max Shabanov (below the league middle)

L2 Blake Coleman (below the league middle) · Joel Eriksson Ek (below the league middle) · Matt Boldy (top tenth of the league)

L3 Yakov Trenin (bottom tenth of the league) · Ryan Hartman (above the league middle) · Bobby Brink (below the league middle)

D1 Quinn Hughes (bottom tenth of the league) · Brock Faber (top tenth of the league)

D2 Jonas Brodin (above the league middle) · Jared Spurgeon (above the league middle)

PP1 Ryan Hartman (above the league middle) · Joel Eriksson Ek (below the league middle) · Matt Boldy (top tenth of the league) · Quinn Hughes (bottom tenth of the league) · Kirill Kaprizov (top tenth of the league)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

DAL · 0 out

Dallas Stars

Nobody listed.

MIN · 0 out

Minnesota Wild

Nobody listed.

Goals · the league's own clips

3 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

DAL · P1 09:18 · R. Faksa (O. Bäck, J. Kiviranta) · clip

MIN · P2 01:54 · J. Eriksson Ek (B. Coleman, M. Boldy) · clip

DAL · P2 18:38 · T. Harley (M. Rantanen, J. Benn) · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger