Final · All games

WSH 5 – 1 PHI

Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
PHI 63%
Expected score
2.7 – 3.5
Market
—
Venue
Xfinity Mobile Arena
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

PHI win63%WSH 37%
FinishesPHI reg 51% · OT/SO 13%WSH reg 27% · OT/SO 10%
Most likely finalsWSH 2–3 PHI (7%) · WSH 1–4 PHI (6%) · WSH 3–4 PHI (6%)
Ledgermorning 64% PHIlineups 61% · hash 33a4916b1a
Club ratings (Elo)PHI 1557 · WSH 1542by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

WSH · expected (depth chart)

Logan Thompson

Goalie rating 1561 (top tenth of the league) · +46.9 saved above expected on 2462 shots last season
PHI · expected (depth chart)

Dan Vladar

Goalie rating 1524 (above the league middle) · +15.7 saved above expected on 2013 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

WSH

Washington Capitals

Head coach Spencer Carbery

L1 Alex Tuch (top tenth of the league) · Pierre-Luc Dubois (below the league middle) · Tom Wilson (above the league middle)

L2 Alex Ovechkin (below the league middle) · Dylan Strome (above the league middle) · Ryan Leonard (above the league middle)

L3 Aliaksei Protas (below the league middle) · Ilya Protas · Jordan Kyrou (below the league middle)

D1 Jakob Chychrun (top tenth of the league) · Matt Roy (below the league middle)

D2 Martin Fehervary (above the league middle) · Timothy Liljegren (below the league middle)

PP1 Tom Wilson (above the league middle) · Dylan Strome (above the league middle) · Pierre-Luc Dubois (below the league middle) · Alex Ovechkin (below the league middle) · Jakob Chychrun (top tenth of the league)

PHI

Philadelphia Flyers

Head coach Rick Tocchet

L1 Travis Konecny (above the league middle) · Noah Cates (below the league middle) · Tyson Foerster (top tenth of the league)

L2 Owen Tippett (below the league middle) · Trevor Zegras (above the league middle) · Porter Martone

L3 Alex Bump · Christian Dvorak (below the league middle) · Matvei Michkov (above the league middle)

D1 Travis Sanheim (above the league middle) · Rasmus Ristolainen (below the league middle)

D2 Cam York (below the league middle) · Jamie Drysdale (above the league middle)

PP1 Porter Martone · Trevor Zegras (above the league middle) · Matvei Michkov (above the league middle) · Tyson Foerster (top tenth of the league) · Jamie Drysdale (above the league middle)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

WSH · 1 out

Washington Capitals

Rasmus Sandin (D): Out For Season (knee), listed since 2026-04-20, expected back 2026-12-21

PHI · 0 out

Philadelphia Flyers

Nobody listed.

Goals · the league's own clips

6 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

PHI · P2 00:31 · J. Drysdale (T. Konecny, T. Foerster) · clip

WSH · P2 04:32 · A. Cristall (S. Smallman) · clip

WSH · P2 07:36 · M. Schafer · clip

WSH · P2 12:24 · E. Frank (L. Belpedio, A. Cristall) · PP · clip

WSH · P3 01:07 · T. Niederbach · clip

WSH · P3 16:06 · L. Lakovic (A. Suzdalev, P. Sikora) · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger