Tue, Sep 29, 10:30 p.m. ET · All games

CHI at VGK

Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.

Model
VGK 75%
Expected score
2.4 – 3.8
Market
—
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

VGK win75%CHI 25%
FinishesVGK reg 62% · OT/SO 13%CHI reg 17% · OT/SO 8%
Most likely finalsCHI 1–4 VGK (8%) · CHI 2–3 VGK (8%) · CHI 2–5 VGK (7%)
Ledgermorning 75% VGKhash 892882b823
Club ratings (Elo)VGK 1489 · CHI 1384by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Schedule spot

What the schedule did to each side

Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.

CHI

season opener

away · opponent rating 1538 · model chance 25%
VGK

season opener

home · opponent rating 1457 · model chance 75%
Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

CHI · expected (depth chart)

Spencer Knight

Goalie rating 1486 (below the league middle) · +20.7 saved above expected on 2424 shots last season
VGK · expected (depth chart)

Carter Hart

Goalie rating 1503 (above the league middle) · -2.4 saved above expected on 645 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

CHI

Chicago Blackhawks

Head coach Jeff Blashill

L1 Roman Kantserov · Frank Nazar (below the league middle) · Patrick Kane (below the league middle)

L2 Tyler Bertuzzi (above the league middle) · Anton Frondell · Nick Lardis (above the league middle)

L3 Ryan Donato (below the league middle) · Oliver Moore (below the league middle) · Andrew Mangiapane (below the league middle)

D1 Alex Vlasic (below the league middle) · Bowen Byram (below the league middle)

D2 Wyatt Kaiser (above the league middle) · Artyom Levshunov (below the league middle)

PP1 Tyler Bertuzzi (above the league middle) · Roman Kantserov · Anton Frondell · Patrick Kane (below the league middle) · Bowen Byram (below the league middle)

VGK

Vegas Golden Knights

Head coach Ryan Craig

L1 Ivan Barbashev (above the league middle) · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Mark Stone (above the league middle)

L2 Brett Howden (above the league middle) · William Karlsson · Mitch Marner (top tenth of the league)

L3 Trevor Connelly · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Victor Olofsson (below the league middle)

D1 Brayden McNabb (above the league middle) · Shea Theodore (above the league middle)

D2 Parker Wotherspoon (above the league middle) · Rasmus Andersson (top tenth of the league)

PP1 Mark Stone (above the league middle) · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Mitch Marner (top tenth of the league) · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Shea Theodore (above the league middle)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

CHI · 1 out

Chicago Blackhawks

Connor Bedard (C): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-07-08, expected back 2026-11-07

VGK · 0 out

Vegas Golden Knights

Nobody listed.