Returning regular · 2025-26
Lane Pederson
Los Angeles Kings · C · — shot · age 29 at the dated snapshot.
- Team
- LAK
- Lane
- C
- Age
- 29
Production and deployment
Official split unavailable
The live official report did not return a matching player row. The dated roster identity and lane screen remain available; production stays unknown.
Organizational context
3 C regulars in LAK
The all-team median is 7. LAK’s farm system ranks #23 in the maintained two-board consensus.
Questions a GM still has to answer
- How much of the scoring comes at five-on-five, on special teams, or into an empty net?
- Is the player creating the play, finishing it, or receiving a secondary point?
- Does deployment reveal trust, scarcity, underuse, or a role the roster cannot offer?
- What contract, acquisition cost, development alternative and Cup-window effect complete the argument?
Tonight
LAK do not play today
League schedule for 2026-09-29; next league date 2026-09-30.
Latest move: The Los Angeles Kings waived F Lane Pederson. (2026-09-24).
White noise · as of 2026-09-29 · social 2026-09-29
Lane Pederson is quiet (24th percentile); attention this week is 2.22× his usual
How much he is being talked about: the league's own stories tagged to him, daily pageviews of his Wikipedia article against his own 90-day baseline, posts naming him on the connected networks (Bluesky), and the roster moves and listings that make noise. A measure of attention. Whether it affects a player is his business, and a question the history will let us test later.
Social: 0 posts named him this week on Bluesky · 0 likes, reposts and replies · no baseline yet, it needs a week of readings.
Latest from the league: LA Kings Announce Training Camp Roster Moves (2026-09-24) · 2026 Training Camp Preview: Centers (2026-09-03)
Contract · LAK
$0.88M cap hit
2026–27 through 2026–27. Certified
From the video · model judgement
What the condensed games showed
Read from the league's free condensed games (1 game so far): entries, exits, battles and turnovers the model could see and attribute to his jersey number. A condensed game is a sample of the game, so these are observations, not season counts.
Most often up against: P. Mintyukov (1).
Career arc · era-adjusted points per 82 games
Lane Pederson, season by season
Each dot is one season. The amber bar is what his earlier seasons and his age predicted for that season (80% band), so a dot far above its bar is a season the numbers did not see coming. The shaded band is where most players at his position sit at each age.
Position band: quantile regression (10th/50th/90th) of qualifying seasons on an age spline, weighted for players who drop out.
What the numbers found
No shipped label applies. A label is a measured finding about a run of seasons (for example, a spike that came back to the old level), and it is shown only for label types that passed their test on held-out seasons.
Projection at the draft
No draft projection: projections exist for players drafted from 2005 on who have season lines on file.
Every season
| Season | Age | GP | Level | Expected (80%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | 23 | 15 | 16.1 | 8.9 to 75.9 |
| 2021-22 | 24 | 29 | 5.2 | 3.3 to 49.5 |
| 2022-23 | 25 | 27 | 16.5 | −8.2 to 32.9 |
| 2025-26 | 28 | 5 | 0.0 | −27.8 to 50.9 |
Source: CapOrCup careers desk (method and league curves) · as of 2026-09-29
Comparables at the same age
Who looked like this at 25 to 28
Careers are compared as league-adjusted points per game by age, over the same ages. The comparables below are the closest lines, and what matters is the spread of what they did next, not any single name.
This player so far: age 15 SMHL 0.92 → age 17 WHL 0.32 → age 18 WHL 0.60 → age 19 WHL 1.05 → age 20 AHL 0.41 → age 21 AHL 0.70 → age 22 AHL 0.92 → age 23 NHL 0.20 → age 24 NHL 0.07 → age 25 NHL 0.27 → age 26 AHL 0.79 → age 27 AHL 0.67 → age 28 AHL 0.76
| Player | Distance (lower is closer) | What he did afterwards |
|---|---|---|
| Nick CousinsC · matched at ages 25, 26, 27, 28 | 0.04 | age 29 NHL 0.34 → age 30 NHL 0.22 → age 31 NHL 0.30 → age 32 NHL 0.28 |
| Nathan WalkerL · matched at ages 25, 26, 28 | 0.04 | age 29 NHL 0.18 → age 30 NHL 0.29 → age 31 NHL 0.22 → age 32 NHL 0.24 |
| Nick PaulL · matched at ages 25, 26, 27, 28 | 0.05 | age 29 NHL 0.56 → age 30 NHL 0.54 → age 31 NHL 0.29 |
| Tyler PitlickC · matched at ages 25, 26, 27, 28 | 0.05 | age 29 NHL 0.29 → age 30 NHL 0.08 → age 31 NHL 0.26 → age 32 NHL 0.12 → age 33 AHL 0.35 |
| Zemgus GirgensonsC · matched at ages 25, 26, 28 | 0.05 | age 29 NHL 0.23 → age 30 NHL 0.22 → age 31 NHL 0.07 → age 32 NHL 0.27 |
| Jordan MartinookL · matched at ages 25, 26, 27, 28 | 0.06 | age 29 NHL 0.25 → age 30 NHL 0.41 → age 31 NHL 0.39 → age 32 NHL 0.46 → age 33 NHL 0.38 |
| Cole SmithR · matched at ages 25, 26, 27, 28 | 0.06 | age 29 NHL 0.17 → age 30 NHL 0.24 |
| Marcus FolignoL · matched at ages 25, 26, 27, 28 | 0.06 | age 29 NHL 0.67 → age 30 NHL 0.57 → age 31 NHL 0.32 → age 32 NHL 0.40 → age 33 NHL 0.38 |
Reading it
If most comparables became NHL regulars and their later peak sits well above this player's current line, the numbers say there is room to grow. If most did not, the numbers say the odds are against it. Either way it is what the data shows, not a name chosen to flatter.
Goal archive ·
Every goal, with the league's video
Preseason, regular season and playoffs are kept apart. Each row links to the NHL's own highlight page; no video is hosted here. Where a clip has been reviewed, the reading of it is a model judgement of the frames, not a measurement.
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Roster moves · as of 2026-09-28
Latest club announcements
Waivers, claims, injured reserve, the minors and signings as the club announced them (Sportradar NHL API v7, league transfers feed; licensed feed (30-day trial)). No cause is read into an injured-reserve placement.
2026-09-24 · placed on waivers · The Los Angeles Kings waived F Lane Pederson.
Availability
Games missed
The NHL publishes no injury feed. This counts games his club played while he did not dress, for any reason: injury, illness, a healthy scratch, a suspension or a trade gap. No cause is claimed.
NHL EDGE tracking · 2025-26
Speed, shot and ice
From the NHL's own player-tracking data. Percentiles are the NHL's: the share of the league below this player.