Final · All games

DAL 2 – 1 STL

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
DAL 52%
Expected score
3.1 – 3.0
Market
—
Venue
Enterprise Center
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

STL win48%DAL 52%
FinishesSTL reg 36% · OT/SO 12%DAL reg 41% · OT/SO 10%
Most likely finalsDAL 3–2 STL (7%) · DAL 2–3 STL (6%) · DAL 4–3 STL (5%)
Club ratings (Elo)STL 1518 · DAL 1574by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

DAL · expected (depth chart)

Jake Oettinger

Goalie rating 1536 (above the league middle) · +15.1 saved above expected on 2079 shots last season
STL · expected (depth chart)

Joel Hofer

Goalie rating 1550 (top tenth of the league) · +15.1 saved above expected on 1950 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

DAL

Dallas Stars

Head coach Glen Gulutzan

L1 Justin Hryckowian (above the league middle) · Wyatt Johnston (top tenth of the league) · Mikko Rantanen (above the league middle)

L2 Jason Robertson (top tenth of the league) · Roope Hintz (bottom tenth of the league) · Tyler Seguin

L3 Sam Steel (above the league middle) · Matt Duchene (above the league middle) · Jamie Benn (above the league middle)

D1 Thomas Harley (below the league middle) · Miro Heiskanen (below the league middle)

D2 Esa Lindell (above the league middle) · Nils Lundkvist (above the league middle)

PP1 Mikko Rantanen (above the league middle) · Wyatt Johnston (top tenth of the league) · Matt Duchene (above the league middle) · Miro Heiskanen (below the league middle) · Jason Robertson (top tenth of the league)

STL

St. Louis Blues

Head coach Jim Montgomery

L1 Dylan Holloway (above the league middle) · Robert Thomas (top tenth of the league) · Jimmy Snuggerud (above the league middle)

L2 Connor McMichael (below the league middle) · Mason McTavish (below the league middle) · Pavel Buchnevich (above the league middle)

L3 Jake Neighbours (above the league middle) · Dalibor Dvorsky (above the league middle) · Jonatan Berggren (above the league middle)

D1 Philip Broberg (below the league middle) · Logan Mailloux (above the league middle)

D2 Theo Lindstein · Colton Parayko (below the league middle)

PP1 Jimmy Snuggerud (above the league middle) · Robert Thomas (top tenth of the league) · Dylan Holloway (above the league middle) · Philip Broberg (below the league middle) · Mason McTavish (below the league middle)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

DAL · 0 out

Dallas Stars

Nobody listed.

STL · 2 out

St. Louis Blues

Logan Mailloux (D): Out (hand), listed since 2026-09-28

Tyler Tucker (D): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-28

Goals · the league's own clips

3 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

DAL · P1 00:16 · A. Hyry (C. Hughes, J. Anderson) · clip

STL · P2 13:30 · A. Kaskimaki (Z. Dean) · clip

DAL · P2 18:29 · J. Becker · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger