Final · All games
MTL 4 – 1 TOR
Montréal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.
- Model
- MTL 56%
- Expected score
- 3.2 – 2.9
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Scotiabank Arena
Pre-game price
What the model says
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Jakub Dobes
Sergei Bobrovsky
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Montréal Canadiens
L1 Cole Caufield (top tenth of the league) · Nick Suzuki (above the league middle) · Chris Kreider (below the league middle)
L2 Juraj Slafkovský (above the league middle) · Oliver Kapanen (above the league middle) · Ivan Demidov (above the league middle)
L3 Alex Newhook (top tenth of the league) · Phillip Danault (bottom tenth of the league) · Josh Anderson (below the league middle)
D1 Mike Matheson (above the league middle) · Noah Dobson (above the league middle)
D2 Jayden Struble · Lane Hutson (above the league middle)
PP1 Juraj Slafkovský (above the league middle) · Nick Suzuki (above the league middle) · Ivan Demidov (above the league middle) · Cole Caufield (top tenth of the league) · Lane Hutson (above the league middle)
Toronto Maple Leafs
L1 Matthew Knies (below the league middle) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle) · Jack Roslovic (above the league middle)
L2 Gavin McKenna · John Tavares (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league)
L3 Bo Groulx · Colton Sissons (below the league middle) · Easton Cowan (above the league middle)
D1 Morgan Rielly (above the league middle) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league)
D2 Jake McCabe (above the league middle) · Chris Tanev
PP1 Jack Roslovic (above the league middle) · John Tavares (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle)
Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Montréal Canadiens
Kaiden Guhle (D): Out (adductor), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-10-17
Toronto Maple Leafs
Elvis Merzlikins (G): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-08-20, expected back 2026-11-30
Max Domi (C): Out (back), listed since 2026-09-11, expected back 2026-11-03
Goals · the league's own clips
5 goals
Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.
MTL · P2 00:51 · P. Danault (Z. Bolduc, A. Texier) · clip
TOR · P2 16:39 · D. Raddysh (A. Matthews, J. Tavares) · PP · clip
MTL · P3 04:46 · M. Szuber (A. Newhook, M. Matheson) · clip
MTL · P3 18:59 · P. Danault (J. Anderson, F. Xhekaj) · empty net · clip
Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger