Final (OT) · All games
TOR 3 – 4 MTL
Toronto Maple Leafs at Montréal Canadiens. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.
- Model
- MTL 63%
- Expected score
- 2.7 – 3.4
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Centre Bell
Pre-game price
What the model says
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Sergei Bobrovsky
Jakub Dobes
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Toronto Maple Leafs
L1 Matthew Knies (below the league middle) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle) · Jack Roslovic (above the league middle)
L2 Gavin McKenna · John Tavares (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league)
L3 Bo Groulx · Colton Sissons (below the league middle) · Easton Cowan (above the league middle)
D1 Morgan Rielly (above the league middle) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league)
D2 Jake McCabe (above the league middle) · Chris Tanev
PP1 Jack Roslovic (above the league middle) · John Tavares (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle)
Montréal Canadiens
L1 Cole Caufield (top tenth of the league) · Nick Suzuki (above the league middle) · Chris Kreider (below the league middle)
L2 Juraj Slafkovský (above the league middle) · Oliver Kapanen (above the league middle) · Ivan Demidov (above the league middle)
L3 Alex Newhook (top tenth of the league) · Phillip Danault (bottom tenth of the league) · Josh Anderson (below the league middle)
D1 Mike Matheson (above the league middle) · Noah Dobson (above the league middle)
D2 Jayden Struble · Lane Hutson (above the league middle)
PP1 Juraj Slafkovský (above the league middle) · Nick Suzuki (above the league middle) · Ivan Demidov (above the league middle) · Cole Caufield (top tenth of the league) · Lane Hutson (above the league middle)
Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Elvis Merzlikins (G): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-08-20, expected back 2026-11-30
Max Domi (C): Out (back), listed since 2026-09-11, expected back 2026-11-03
Montréal Canadiens
Kaiden Guhle (D): Out (adductor), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-10-17
Goals · the league's own clips
7 goals
Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.
MTL · P1 04:27 · J. Slafkovský (L. Mittelstadt, E. Samson) · clip
MTL · P1 12:04 · I. Demidov (L. Hutson) · PP · clip
TOR · P2 03:56 · H. Rybinski (R. Tverberg, B. Brisson) · PP · clip
TOR · P2 08:32 · C. Sissons (O. Ekman-Larsson, E. Cowan) · PP · clip
TOR · P2 16:21 · M. Johnstone (H. Rybinski, M. Pezzetta) · clip
MTL · P3 02:43 · L. Hutson (J. Davidson, A. Belzile) · clip
MTL · P4 04:22 · C. Caufield (L. Hutson, A. Carrier) · clip
Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger