Final · All games

NYI 1 – 2 NJD

New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
NJD 53%
Expected score
2.9 – 3.2
Market
—
Venue
Prudential Center
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

NJD win53%NYI 47%
FinishesNJD reg 40% · OT/SO 13%NYI reg 37% · OT/SO 10%
Most likely finalsNYI 2–3 NJD (7%) · NYI 3–2 NJD (6%) · NYI 3–4 NJD (5%)
Club ratings (Elo)NJD 1503 · NYI 1493by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

NYI · expected (depth chart)

Ilya Sorokin

Goalie rating 1497 (below the league middle) · +34.9 saved above expected on 2325 shots last season
NJD · expected (depth chart)

Jake Allen

Goalie rating 1520 (above the league middle) · +14.0 saved above expected on 1572 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

NYI

New York Islanders

Head coach Peter DeBoer

L1 Simon Holmstrom (above the league middle) · Bo Horvat (above the league middle) · Kyle Palmieri (bottom tenth of the league)

L2 Matias Maccelli (above the league middle) · Calum Ritchie (above the league middle) · Brayden Schenn (above the league middle)

L3 Victor Eklund · Jean-Gabriel Pageau (top tenth of the league) · Emil Heineman (above the league middle)

D1 Adam Pelech (below the league middle) · Matthew Schaefer (top tenth of the league)

D2 Alexander Romanov · Ryan Pulock (below the league middle)

PP1 Kyle Palmieri (bottom tenth of the league) · Bo Horvat (above the league middle) · Brayden Schenn (above the league middle) · Matias Maccelli (above the league middle) · Matthew Schaefer (top tenth of the league)

NJD

New Jersey Devils

Head coach Sheldon Keefe

L1 Anthony Mantha (top tenth of the league) · Jack Hughes (above the league middle) · Jesper Bratt (above the league middle)

L2 Timo Meier (bottom tenth of the league) · Nico Hischier (below the league middle) · Luke Evangelista (bottom tenth of the league)

L3 Arseny Gritsyuk (above the league middle) · Evan Rodrigues (below the league middle) · Dawson Mercer (bottom tenth of the league)

D1 Jonas Siegenthaler (below the league middle) · Dougie Hamilton (above the league middle)

D2 Luke Hughes (below the league middle) · Brett Pesce (below the league middle)

PP1 Jesper Bratt (above the league middle) · Nico Hischier (below the league middle) · Luke Evangelista (bottom tenth of the league) · Jack Hughes (above the league middle) · Luke Hughes (below the league middle)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

NYI · 1 out

New York Islanders

Mathew Barzal (C): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-16

NJD · 4 out

New Jersey Devils

Johnathan Kovacevic (D): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-28

Nick Bjugstad (C): Out (pectoral), listed since 2026-09-28

Seamus Casey (D): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-28

Arseny Gritsyuk (RW): Out For Season (upper-body), listed since 2026-03-24, expected back 2026-09-15

Goals · the league's own clips

3 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

NYI · P2 00:55 · C. Eiserman (V. Dravecký, C. Ritchie) · PP · clip

NJD · P2 03:59 · R. Schmelzer (B. Steeves, E. Edwards) · clip

NJD · P3 07:53 · C. Brown · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger