Final · All games

UTA 1 – 4 COL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
COL 64%
Expected score
2.7 – 3.5
Market
—
Venue
Ball Arena
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

COL win64%UTA 36%
FinishesCOL reg 52% · OT/SO 12%UTA reg 25% · OT/SO 10%
Most likely finalsUTA 2–3 COL (7%) · UTA 1–4 COL (6%) · UTA 3–4 COL (6%)
Club ratings (Elo)COL 1591 · UTA 1517by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

UTA · expected (depth chart)

Karel Vejmelka

Goalie rating 1496 (below the league middle) · +15.2 saved above expected on 2515 shots last season
COL · expected (depth chart)

Scott Wedgewood

Goalie rating 1593 (top tenth of the league) · +26.3 saved above expected on 1689 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

UTA

Utah Mammoth

Head coach Andre Tourigny

L1 Clayton Keller (below the league middle) · Nick Schmaltz (above the league middle) · Daniil But (below the league middle)

L2 Anders Lee (bottom tenth of the league) · Logan Cooley (top tenth of the league) · Dylan Guenther (top tenth of the league)

L3 Lawson Crouse (above the league middle) · Vincent Trocheck (below the league middle) · Kailer Yamamoto (top tenth of the league)

D1 Mikhail Sergachev (above the league middle) · MacKenzie Weegar (below the league middle)

D2 Nate Schmidt (above the league middle) · John Marino (below the league middle)

PP1 Dylan Guenther (top tenth of the league) · Logan Cooley (top tenth of the league) · Nick Schmaltz (above the league middle) · Clayton Keller (below the league middle) · Mikhail Sergachev (above the league middle)

COL

Colorado Avalanche

Head coach Jared Bednar

L1 Artturi Lehkonen (below the league middle) · Nathan MacKinnon (above the league middle) · Martin Necas (top tenth of the league)

L2 Gabriel Landeskog (below the league middle) · Brock Nelson (above the league middle) · Nazem Kadri (bottom tenth of the league)

L3 Jaden Schwartz (above the league middle) · Fedor Svechkov (below the league middle) · Nicolas Roy (below the league middle)

D1 Devon Toews (below the league middle) · Cale Makar (above the league middle)

D2 Brett Kulak (below the league middle) · Sam Malinski (above the league middle)

PP1 Martin Necas (top tenth of the league) · Nicolas Roy (below the league middle) · Gabriel Landeskog (below the league middle) · Nathan MacKinnon (above the league middle) · Cale Makar (above the league middle)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

UTA · 0 out

Utah Mammoth

Nobody listed.

COL · 2 out

Colorado Avalanche

Logan O'Connor (RW): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-28

Zachary L'Heureux (LW): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-28

Goals · the league's own clips

5 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

COL · P2 08:54 · B. Hamilton (M. Necas) · clip

UTA · P2 15:27 · Y. Borikov (G. Smith, A. Duda) · clip

COL · P3 01:52 · G. Brindley (N. Kadri) · clip

COL · P3 02:27 · B. Nelson (A. Lehkonen, D. Toews) · PP · clip

COL · P3 17:27 · T. Makar (G. Brindley, T. Hughes) · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger