Returning regular · 2025-26
Zachary L'Heureux
Colorado Avalanche · LW · L shot · age 23 at the dated snapshot.
- Team
- COL
- Lane
- LW
- Age
- 23
Production and deployment
How the points were built
Official NHL 2025–26 regular-season reports. A missing split stays “—”; it is never converted to zero.
Organizational context
4 LW regulars in COL
The all-team median is 4. COL’s farm system ranks #32 in the maintained two-board consensus.
Questions a GM still has to answer
- How much of the scoring comes at five-on-five, on special teams, or into an empty net?
- Is the player creating the play, finishing it, or receiving a secondary point?
- Does deployment reveal trust, scarcity, underuse, or a role the roster cannot offer?
- What contract, acquisition cost, development alternative and Cup-window effect complete the argument?
Contract · COL
$0.88M cap hit
2026–27 through 2027–28 · RFA at expiry. Certified
Cup signal › Costs more per point than the position median, but earns it with five-on-five creation or penalty-kill work.
- He kills penalties (1:51 a night), which points do not capture.
- At 0.8% of the cap, almost any NHL production is surplus.
- 7 real points at this cap hit would pass the cost test (he had 5).
Shot quality · 2025-26
Expected goals
CapOrCup's shot model (distance, angle, shot type, strength, rebounds, rushes), trained on 2023-24 and 2024-25 and tested on unseen games (AUC 0.757). Finishing is goals minus expected goals; it is noisy in one season.
Comparables at the same age
Who looked like this at 19 to 22
Careers are compared as league-adjusted points per game by age, over the same ages. The comparables below are the closest lines, and what matters is the spread of what they did next, not any single name.
This player so far: age 13 QM15AAA 1.10 → age 14 QMEAA 1.64 → age 15 QMAAA 1.27 → age 16 QMJHL 0.96 → age 17 QMJHL 1.18 → age 18 QMJHL 1.22 → age 19 QMJHL 1.27 → age 20 AHL 0.73 → age 21 NHL 0.24 → age 22 NHL 0.20
| Player | Distance (lower is closer) | What he did afterwards |
|---|---|---|
| Ross ColtonC · matched at ages 19, 20, 21, 22 | 0.02 | age 23 AHL 0.31 → age 24 NHL 0.40 → age 25 NHL 0.49 → age 26 NHL 0.40 → age 27 NHL 0.50 |
| Alex TurcotteC · matched at ages 19, 20, 21, 22 | 0.04 | age 23 NHL 0.20 → age 24 NHL 0.37 → age 25 NHL 0.23 |
| Noah GregorL · matched at ages 19, 20, 21, 22 | 0.04 | age 23 NHL 0.36 → age 24 NHL 0.30 → age 25 NHL 0.19 → age 26 NHL 0.15 → age 27 NHL 0.24 |
| Josh PillarRW · matched at ages 19, 20, 21, 22 | 0.04 | age 23 USports 0.17 → age 24 USports 0.10 |
| Nicolas RoyC · matched at ages 19, 20, 21, 22 | 0.04 | age 23 NHL 0.36 → age 24 NHL 0.30 → age 25 NHL 0.50 → age 26 NHL 0.46 → age 27 NHL 0.59 |
| Yakov TreninC · matched at ages 19, 20, 21, 22 | 0.05 | age 23 NHL 0.29 → age 24 NHL 0.24 → age 25 NHL 0.30 → age 26 NHL 0.31 → age 27 NHL 0.23 |
| Stefan NoesenR · matched at ages 19, 20, 22 | 0.05 | age 23 AHL 0.22 → age 24 NHL 0.17 → age 25 NHL 0.38 → age 26 NHL 0.20 → age 27 NHL 0.23 |
| Andrew CoppC · matched at ages 19, 20, 21, 22 | 0.05 | age 23 NHL 0.34 → age 24 NHL 0.36 → age 25 NHL 0.41 → age 26 NHL 0.71 → age 27 NHL 0.63 |
Reading it
If most comparables became NHL regulars and their later peak sits well above this player's current line, the numbers say there is room to grow. If most did not, the numbers say the odds are against it. Either way it is what the data shows, not a name chosen to flatter.
Goal archive ·
Every goal, with the league's video
Preseason, regular season and playoffs are kept apart. Each row links to the NHL's own highlight page; no video is hosted here. Where a clip has been reviewed, the reading of it is a model judgement of the frames, not a measurement.
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Availability
Games missed
The NHL publishes no injury feed. This counts games his club played while he did not dress, for any reason: injury, illness, a healthy scratch, a suspension or a trade gap. No cause is claimed.
Either side of that absence: 1.97 points per 60 in the ten games before, 0.48 in the ten after. A rate change over a small sample, not evidence of a lingering injury.
NHL EDGE tracking · 2025-26
Speed, shot and ice
From the NHL's own player-tracking data. Percentiles are the NHL's: the share of the league below this player.