Final (OT) · All games

FLA 1 – 0 CAR

Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
CAR 68%
Expected score
2.6 – 3.6
Market
—
Venue
Lenovo Center
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

CAR win68%FLA 32%
FinishesCAR reg 55% · OT/SO 13%FLA reg 23% · OT/SO 10%
Most likely finalsFLA 2–3 CAR (7%) · FLA 1–4 CAR (7%) · FLA 2–5 CAR (6%)
Ledgermorning 68% CARhash 1b58f5143c
Club ratings (Elo)CAR 1609 · FLA 1483by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Schedule spot

What the schedule did to each side

Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.

FLA

season opener

away · opponent rating 1537 · model chance 32%
CAR

season opener

home · opponent rating 1486.4 · model chance 68%
Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

FLA · expected (depth chart)

Jacob Markstrom

Goalie rating 1496 (below the league middle) · -10.6 saved above expected on 1689 shots last season
CAR · expected (depth chart)

Brandon Bussi

Goalie rating 1499 (below the league middle) · +6.6 saved above expected on 1347 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

FLA

Florida Panthers

Head coach Paul Maurice

L1 Brady Tkachuk (bottom tenth of the league) · Aleksander Barkov · Sam Reinhart (below the league middle)

L2 Carter Verhaeghe (above the league middle) · Sam Bennett (above the league middle) · Matthew Tkachuk (below the league middle)

L3 Eetu Luostarinen (below the league middle) · Anton Lundell (above the league middle) · Sandis Vilmanis

D1 Gustav Forsling (below the league middle) · Aaron Ekblad (below the league middle)

D2 Niko Mikkola (below the league middle) · Seth Jones (above the league middle)

PP1 Brady Tkachuk (bottom tenth of the league) · Aleksander Barkov · Sam Reinhart (below the league middle) · Aaron Ekblad (below the league middle) · Matthew Tkachuk (below the league middle)

CAR

Carolina Hurricanes

Head coach Rod Brind'Amour

L1 Andrei Svechnikov (top tenth of the league) · Sebastian Aho (above the league middle) · Eric Robinson (above the league middle)

L2 Taylor Hall (below the league middle) · Logan Stankoven (below the league middle) · Jackson Blake (bottom tenth of the league)

L3 Nikolaj Ehlers (top tenth of the league) · Jordan Staal (above the league middle) · Jordan Martinook (below the league middle)

D1 Jaccob Slavin (below the league middle) · Jalen Chatfield (below the league middle)

D2 K'Andre Miller (above the league middle) · Sean Walker (below the league middle)

PP1 Andrei Svechnikov (top tenth of the league) · Sebastian Aho (above the league middle) · Jackson Blake (bottom tenth of the league) · Nikolaj Ehlers (top tenth of the league) · Shayne Gostisbehere (top tenth of the league)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

FLA · 1 out

Florida Panthers

Brad Marchand (LW): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-08-15, expected back 2026-10-10

CAR · 1 out

Carolina Hurricanes

Seth Jarvis (C): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-06-26, expected back 2026-11-01

Goals · the league's own clips

1 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

FLA · P4 04:55 · G. Forsling (C. Verhaeghe) · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger