Returning regular · 2025-26
Raphael Lavoie
Vegas Golden Knights · C · — shot · age 25 at the dated snapshot.
- Team
- VGK
- Lane
- C
- Age
- 25
Production and deployment
How the points were built
Official NHL 2025–26 regular-season reports. A missing split stays “—”; it is never converted to zero.
Organizational context
7 C regulars in VGK
The all-team median is 7. VGK’s farm system ranks #28 in the maintained two-board consensus.
Questions a GM still has to answer
- How much of the scoring comes at five-on-five, on special teams, or into an empty net?
- Is the player creating the play, finishing it, or receiving a secondary point?
- Does deployment reveal trust, scarcity, underuse, or a role the roster cannot offer?
- What contract, acquisition cost, development alternative and Cup-window effect complete the argument?
Tonight · 10:30 p.m. ET
CHI at VGK
Projected slot from the licensed depth chart; props from the model's learned layer on shots, finishing and the opposing starter; ratings are last season's until this one has enough games. Information, not a recommendation.
Nothing listed against Raphael Lavoie.
White noise · as of 2026-09-29 · social 2026-09-29
Raphael Lavoie is quiet (15th percentile); attention this week is 2.56× his usual
How much he is being talked about: the league's own stories tagged to him, daily pageviews of his Wikipedia article against his own 90-day baseline, posts naming him on the connected networks (Bluesky), and the roster moves and listings that make noise. A measure of attention. Whether it affects a player is his business, and a question the history will let us test later.
Social: 1 post named him this week on Bluesky · 1 likes, reposts and replies · no baseline yet, it needs a week of readings.
Contract · VGK
Cap hit not published
2026–27 through 2026–27 · UFA at expiry. Unknown
Career arc · era-adjusted points per 82 games
Raphael Lavoie, season by season
Each dot is one season. The amber bar is what his earlier seasons and his age predicted for that season (80% band), so a dot far above its bar is a season the numbers did not see coming. The shaded band is where most players at his position sit at each age.
Position band: quantile regression (10th/50th/90th) of qualifying seasons on an age spline, weighted for players who drop out.
What the numbers found
No shipped label applies. A label is a measured finding about a run of seasons (for example, a spike that came back to the old level), and it is shown only for label types that passed their test on held-out seasons.
Projection at the draft
At the draft the model expected 12 NHL hours through his age-25 season (80% band 0 to 77). He logged 3 hours, between the 10th percentile and the median. The model was applied to his draft class without being fitted or tested on it.
Every season
| Season | Age | GP | Level | Expected (80%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 23 | 7 | 0.0 | 3.1 to 81.7 |
| 2024-25 | 24 | 9 | 0.0 | −9.7 to 56.3 |
| 2025-26 | 25 | 1 | 0.0 | −63.7 to 89.0 |
Source: CapOrCup careers desk (method and league curves) · as of 2026-09-29
Comparables at the same age
Who looked like this at 22 to 25
Careers are compared as league-adjusted points per game by age, over the same ages. The comparables below are the closest lines, and what matters is the spread of what they did next, not any single name.
This player so far: age 13 QBAAA 0.59 → age 14 QBAAA 0.67 → age 15 QMAAA 0.62 → age 16 QMJHL 0.28 → age 17 QMJHL 0.93 → age 18 QMJHL 1.18 → age 19 QMJHL 1.47 → age 20 AHL 0.53 → age 21 AHL 0.46 → age 22 AHL 0.74 → age 23 AHL 0.76 → age 24 AHL 0.64 → age 25 AHL 1.24
| Player | Distance (lower is closer) | What he did afterwards |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas RoyC · matched at ages 22, 23, 24, 25 | 0.06 | age 26 NHL 0.46 → age 27 NHL 0.59 → age 28 NHL 0.44 → age 29 NHL 0.34 |
| Scott LaughtonC · matched at ages 22, 23, 24, 25 | 0.07 | age 26 NHL 0.38 → age 27 NHL 0.45 → age 28 NHL 0.55 → age 29 NHL 0.48 → age 30 NHL 0.45 |
| Sam SteelC · matched at ages 22, 23, 24, 25 | 0.07 | age 26 NHL 0.31 → age 27 NHL 0.32 → age 28 NHL 0.45 |
| Maxim TsyplakovR · matched at ages 22, 23, 24, 25 | 0.07 | age 26 NHL 0.46 → age 27 NHL 0.07 |
| Miles WoodL · matched at ages 22, 23, 24, 25 | 0.08 | age 27 NHL 0.35 → age 28 NHL 0.35 → age 29 NHL 0.22 → age 30 NHL 0.26 |
| Morgan GeekieC · matched at ages 22, 23, 24, 25 | 0.08 | age 26 NHL 0.74 → age 27 NHL 0.84 |
| Adam LowryC · matched at ages 22, 23, 24, 25 | 0.09 | age 26 NHL 0.29 → age 27 NHL 0.20 → age 28 NHL 0.46 → age 29 NHL 0.27 → age 30 NHL 0.44 |
| Ben HemmerlingRW · matched at ages 22, 23, 24, 25 | 0.09 | age 26 ECHL 0.36 → age 27 DEL 0.29 → age 28 CHL 0.25 → age 29 CHL 0.29 |
Reading it
If most comparables became NHL regulars and their later peak sits well above this player's current line, the numbers say there is room to grow. If most did not, the numbers say the odds are against it. Either way it is what the data shows, not a name chosen to flatter.
Goal archive ·
Every goal, with the league's video
Preseason, regular season and playoffs are kept apart. Each row links to the NHL's own highlight page; no video is hosted here. Where a clip has been reviewed, the reading of it is a model judgement of the frames, not a measurement.
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NHL EDGE tracking · 2025-26
Speed, shot and ice
From the NHL's own player-tracking data. Percentiles are the NHL's: the share of the league below this player.