Final · All games

VGK 4 – 2 LAK

Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
VGK 58%
Expected score
3.3 – 2.9
Market
—
Venue
Toyota Arena
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

LAK win42%VGK 58%
FinishesLAK reg 30% · OT/SO 11%VGK reg 46% · OT/SO 12%
Most likely finalsVGK 3–2 LAK (7%) · VGK 2–3 LAK (6%) · VGK 4–3 LAK (6%)
Club ratings (Elo)LAK 1455 · VGK 1489by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

VGK · expected (depth chart)

Carter Hart

Goalie rating 1503 (above the league middle) · -2.4 saved above expected on 645 shots last season
LAK · expected (depth chart)

Darcy Kuemper

Goalie rating 1452 (bottom tenth of the league) · -3.1 saved above expected on 1880 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

VGK

Vegas Golden Knights

Head coach Ryan Craig

L1 Ivan Barbashev (above the league middle) · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Mark Stone (above the league middle)

L2 Brett Howden (above the league middle) · William Karlsson · Mitch Marner (top tenth of the league)

L3 Trevor Connelly · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Victor Olofsson (below the league middle)

D1 Brayden McNabb (above the league middle) · Shea Theodore (above the league middle)

D2 Parker Wotherspoon (above the league middle) · Rasmus Andersson (top tenth of the league)

PP1 Mark Stone (above the league middle) · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Mitch Marner (top tenth of the league) · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Shea Theodore (above the league middle)

LAK

Los Angeles Kings

Head coach Peter Laviolette

L1 Artemi Panarin (top tenth of the league) · Quinton Byfield (above the league middle) · Adrian Kempe (top tenth of the league)

L2 Mats Zuccarello (above the league middle) · Erik Haula (below the league middle) · Alex Laferriere (below the league middle)

L3 Andre Lee · Scott Laughton (above the league middle) · Trevor Moore (below the league middle)

D1 Mikey Anderson (above the league middle) · Brandt Clarke (below the league middle)

D2 Joel Edmundson (below the league middle) · Drew Doughty (below the league middle)

PP1 Mats Zuccarello (above the league middle) · Quinton Byfield (above the league middle) · Adrian Kempe (top tenth of the league) · Artemi Panarin (top tenth of the league) · Brandt Clarke (below the league middle)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

VGK · 0 out

Vegas Golden Knights

Nobody listed.

LAK · 3 out

Los Angeles Kings

Joel Edmundson (D): Day To Day (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-28

Jakub Dvorak (D): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-24, expected back 2026-10-06

Jan Jenik (C): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-24, expected back 2026-10-06

Kevin Fiala (LW): Out (leg), listed since 2026-02-13, expected back 2026-09-30

Goals · the league's own clips

6 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

VGK · P1 18:40 · V. Kmec (M. Sapovaliv, M. Gatcomb)

VGK · P1 19:24 · R. Lavoie (T. Laczynski, B. Bowman)

LAK · P2 01:27 · A. Lee (K. Connors, S. Perunovich)

LAK · P3 12:06 · L. Pederson (C. Guttman, J. Wright)

VGK · P3 14:29 · J. Hallum (V. Kmec)

VGK · P3 18:37 · J. Hallum (J. Demek) · empty net

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger