CAP/CUP
Teams

Atlantic

BOSBoston BruinsBUFBuffalo SabresDETDetroit Red WingsFLAFlorida PanthersMTLMontréal CanadiensOTTOttawa SenatorsTBLTampa Bay LightningTORToronto Maple Leafs

Metropolitan

CARCarolina HurricanesCBJColumbus Blue JacketsNJDNew Jersey DevilsNYINew York IslandersNYRNew York RangersPHIPhiladelphia FlyersPITPittsburgh PenguinsWSHWashington Capitals

Central

CHIChicago BlackhawksCOLColorado AvalancheDALDallas StarsMINMinnesota WildNSHNashville PredatorsSTLSt. Louis BluesUTAUtah MammothWPGWinnipeg Jets

Pacific

ANAAnaheim DucksCGYCalgary FlamesEDMEdmonton OilersLAKLos Angeles KingsSJSSan Jose SharksSEASeattle KrakenVANVancouver CanucksVGKVegas Golden Knights
Final · All games

DET 7 – 4 PIT

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
PIT 60%
Expected score
2.8 – 3.3
Market
—
Venue
PPG Paints Arena
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

PIT win60%DET 40%
FinishesPIT reg 48% · OT/SO 12%DET reg 29% · OT/SO 11%
Most likely finalsDET 2–3 PIT (7%) · DET 1–4 PIT (6%) · DET 3–2 PIT (6%)
Club ratings (Elo)PIT 1506 · DET 1460by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

DET · expected (depth chart)

John Gibson

Goalie rating 1500 (below the league middle) · +19.9 saved above expected on 2281 shots last season
PIT · expected (depth chart)

Arturs Silovs

Goalie rating 1459 (bottom tenth of the league) · -6.1 saved above expected on 1572 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

DET

Detroit Red Wings

Head coach Todd McLellan

L1 Alex DeBrincat (above the league middle) · Andrew Copp (bottom tenth of the league) · Lucas Raymond (above the league middle)

L2 Emmitt Finnie (bottom tenth of the league) · Marco Kasper (bottom tenth of the league) · Viktor Arvidsson (above the league middle)

L3 Mason Appleton (above the league middle) · Nate Danielson · Michael Brandsegg-Nygård

D1 Simon Edvinsson (above the league middle) · Moritz Seider (above the league middle)

D2 Albert Johansson (above the league middle) · Justin Faulk (top tenth of the league)

PP1 Viktor Arvidsson (above the league middle) · Andrew Copp (bottom tenth of the league) · Lucas Raymond (above the league middle) · Alex DeBrincat (above the league middle) · Moritz Seider (above the league middle)

PIT

Pittsburgh Penguins

Head coach Dan Muse

L1 Nick Robertson (above the league middle) · Sidney Crosby (top tenth of the league) · Rickard Rakell (above the league middle)

L2 Egor Chinakhov (top tenth of the league) · Thomas Novak (below the league middle) · Evgeni Malkin (above the league middle)

L3 Ville Koivunen · Hendrix Lapierre (below the league middle) · Bryan Rust (above the league middle)

D1 Declan Carlile · Erik Karlsson (above the league middle)

D2 Trevor van Riemsdyk (above the league middle) · Kris Letang (below the league middle)

PP1 Bryan Rust (above the league middle) · Thomas Novak (below the league middle) · Rickard Rakell (above the league middle) · Erik Karlsson (above the league middle) · Sidney Crosby (top tenth of the league)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

DET · 2 out

Detroit Red Wings

Dylan Larkin (C): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-09-21

Jacob Bernard-Docker (D): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-28

PIT · 10 out

Pittsburgh Penguins

Andrei Kuzmenko (LW): Out (personal), listed since 2026-09-24

Ben Kindel (C): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-27

Blake Lizotte (C): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-27

Bryan Rust (RW): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-28

Gabriel D'Aigle (G): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-24, expected back 2026-10-29

Justin Brazeau (RW): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-27

Melvin Fernstrom (RW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-24, expected back 2026-10-13

Oliver Okuliar (LW): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-25, expected back 2026-10-13

Ryan Graves (D): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-27

Tristan Broz (C): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-27

Goals · the league's own clips

11 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

PIT · P1 07:19 · N. Robertson (I. Solovyov, K. Korczak) · SH · clip

DET · P1 18:23 · M. Brandsegg-Nygård (N. Danielson, B. Chiarot) · clip

DET · P2 04:26 · M. Appleton (B. Chiarot, A. Johansson) · clip

DET · P2 04:57 · A. Sandin-Pellikka (V. Arvidsson, E. Finnie) · clip

PIT · P2 12:22 · R. Rakell (S. Girard, N. Robertson) · clip

DET · P3 05:37 · M. Brandsegg-Nygård (A. Johansson, T. Rochette) · PP · clip

PIT · P3 06:55 · K. Korczak (M. Ilyin, L. Ruck) · clip

DET · P3 09:24 · O. Becher (A. Johansson, W. Skoog) · clip

DET · P3 12:39 · W. Skoog (S. Muzzatti, J. Faulk) · clip

DET · P3 13:46 · J. Kiiskinen (A. Johansson, T. Rochette) · clip

PIT · P3 17:47 · R. McGroarty (M. Ruck, L. Ruck) · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger