Final (SO) · All games

VGK 2 – 1 SJS

Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
VGK 66%
Expected score
3.5 – 2.6
Market
—
Venue
SAP Center at San Jose
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

SJS win34%VGK 66%
FinishesSJS reg 24% · OT/SO 10%VGK reg 53% · OT/SO 13%
Most likely finalsVGK 3–2 SJS (8%) · VGK 4–1 SJS (7%) · VGK 4–3 SJS (6%)
Club ratings (Elo)SJS 1470 · VGK 1489by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

VGK · expected (depth chart)

Carter Hart

Goalie rating 1503 (above the league middle) · -2.4 saved above expected on 645 shots last season
SJS · expected (depth chart)

Yaroslav Askarov

Goalie rating 1441 (bottom tenth of the league) · -14.7 saved above expected on 1988 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

VGK

Vegas Golden Knights

Head coach Ryan Craig

L1 Ivan Barbashev (above the league middle) · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Mark Stone (above the league middle)

L2 Brett Howden (above the league middle) · William Karlsson · Mitch Marner (top tenth of the league)

L3 Trevor Connelly · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Victor Olofsson (below the league middle)

D1 Brayden McNabb (above the league middle) · Shea Theodore (above the league middle)

D2 Parker Wotherspoon (above the league middle) · Rasmus Andersson (top tenth of the league)

PP1 Mark Stone (above the league middle) · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Mitch Marner (top tenth of the league) · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Shea Theodore (above the league middle)

SJS

San Jose Sharks

Head coach Ryan Warsofsky

L1 Mason Marchment (above the league middle) · Macklin Celebrini (top tenth of the league) · Will Smith (top tenth of the league)

L2 Ivar Stenberg · Alexander Wennberg (above the league middle) · Collin Graf (above the league middle)

L3 Tyler Toffoli (below the league middle) · Michael Misa (above the league middle) · Igor Chernyshov (above the league middle)

D1 Sam Dickinson (below the league middle) · Jacob Trouba (above the league middle)

D2 Darnell Nurse (above the league middle) · Michael Kesselring (below the league middle)

PP1 Igor Chernyshov (above the league middle) · Alexander Wennberg (above the league middle) · Will Smith (top tenth of the league) · Macklin Celebrini (top tenth of the league) · Luca Cagnoni

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

VGK · 0 out

Vegas Golden Knights

Nobody listed.

SJS · 0 out

San Jose Sharks

Nobody listed.

Goals · the league's own clips

3 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

SJS · P3 04:18 · M. Misa (I. Stenberg, D. Orlov) · PP · clip

VGK · P3 08:22 · A. Holtz (T. Laczynski, A. Ginning) · clip

VGK · P5 00:00 · B. Bowman · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger