Final · All games
FLA 5 – 3 TBL
Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.
- Model
- TBL 65%
- Expected score
- 2.6 – 3.5
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Benchmark International Arena
Pre-game price
What the model says
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Jacob Markstrom
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Florida Panthers
L1 Brady Tkachuk (bottom tenth of the league) · Aleksander Barkov · Sam Reinhart (below the league middle)
L2 Carter Verhaeghe (above the league middle) · Sam Bennett (above the league middle) · Matthew Tkachuk (below the league middle)
L3 Eetu Luostarinen (below the league middle) · Anton Lundell (above the league middle) · Sandis Vilmanis
D1 Gustav Forsling (below the league middle) · Aaron Ekblad (below the league middle)
D2 Niko Mikkola (below the league middle) · Seth Jones (above the league middle)
PP1 Brady Tkachuk (bottom tenth of the league) · Aleksander Barkov · Sam Reinhart (below the league middle) · Aaron Ekblad (below the league middle) · Matthew Tkachuk (below the league middle)
Tampa Bay Lightning
L1 Ilya Mikheyev (above the league middle) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league)
L2 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Anthony Cirelli (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle)
L3 Pontus Holmberg (below the league middle) · Zemgus Girgensons (below the league middle) · Jeffrey Viel (bottom tenth of the league)
D1 J.J. Moser (above the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
D2 Victor Hedman (below the league middle) · Max Crozier (below the league middle)
PP1 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Florida Panthers
Brad Marchand (LW): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-08-15, expected back 2026-10-10
Tampa Bay Lightning
Dominic James (C): Out (hand), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-10-13
Yanni Gourde (C): Out (hip), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-12-02
Goals · the league's own clips
8 goals
Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.
FLA · P1 19:44 · B. Imama (D. Sebrango, S. Lafferty) · clip
FLA · P2 02:29 · K. Schwindt (C. Reinhardt, M. Hovorka) · clip
TBL · P2 03:14 · J. Harkins (I. Mikheyev, J. Moser) · clip
TBL · P2 13:09 · C. Geekie (S. O'Reilly, B. Rautiainen) · clip
FLA · P3 04:21 · H. St. Martin (A. Petrovic, K. Schwindt) · clip
TBL · P3 05:29 · J. Harkins (R. McDonagh, J. Pelletier) · clip
FLA · P3 05:35 · C. Reinhardt · clip
FLA · P3 19:36 · S. Vilmanis (U. Balinskis) · empty net · clip
Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger