Final · All games

NYR 6 – 1 NYI

New York Rangers at New York Islanders. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.

Model
NYI 61%
Expected score
2.7 – 3.4
Market
—
Venue
UBS Arena
Pre-game price

What the model says

Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.

NYI win61%NYR 39%
FinishesNYI reg 49% · OT/SO 12%NYR reg 28% · OT/SO 11%
Most likely finalsNYR 2–3 NYI (7%) · NYR 1–4 NYI (6%) · NYR 3–2 NYI (6%)
Club ratings (Elo)NYI 1493 · NYR 1446by results; last season's, until this one has enough games

Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)

Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28

In goal

The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.

NYR · expected (depth chart)

Igor Shesterkin

Goalie rating 1545 (top tenth of the league) · +24.4 saved above expected on 2149 shots last season
NYI · expected (depth chart)

Ilya Sorokin

Goalie rating 1497 (below the league middle) · +34.9 saved above expected on 2325 shots last season
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28

Expected lines

What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.

NYR

New York Rangers

Head coach Mike Sullivan

L1 Gabe Perreault (above the league middle) · Mika Zibanejad (top tenth of the league) · Alexis Lafreniere (above the league middle)

L2 Oliver Bjorkstrand (bottom tenth of the league) · J.T. Miller (bottom tenth of the league) · Pavel Dorofeyev (above the league middle)

L3 Will Cuylle (below the league middle) · Noah Laba (below the league middle) · Eeli Tolvanen (bottom tenth of the league)

D1 Vladislav Gavrikov (top tenth of the league) · Adam Fox (above the league middle)

D2 Marcus Pettersson (below the league middle) · Sean Durzi (above the league middle)

PP1 Alexis Lafreniere (above the league middle) · J.T. Miller (bottom tenth of the league) · Pavel Dorofeyev (above the league middle) · Mika Zibanejad (top tenth of the league) · Adam Fox (above the league middle)

NYI

New York Islanders

Head coach Peter DeBoer

L1 Simon Holmstrom (above the league middle) · Bo Horvat (above the league middle) · Kyle Palmieri (bottom tenth of the league)

L2 Matias Maccelli (above the league middle) · Calum Ritchie (above the league middle) · Brayden Schenn (above the league middle)

L3 Victor Eklund · Jean-Gabriel Pageau (top tenth of the league) · Emil Heineman (above the league middle)

D1 Adam Pelech (below the league middle) · Matthew Schaefer (top tenth of the league)

D2 Alexander Romanov · Ryan Pulock (below the league middle)

PP1 Kyle Palmieri (bottom tenth of the league) · Bo Horvat (above the league middle) · Brayden Schenn (above the league middle) · Matias Maccelli (above the league middle) · Matthew Schaefer (top tenth of the league)

Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29

Who the clubs list as out

Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.

NYR · 0 out

New York Rangers

Nobody listed.

NYI · 1 out

New York Islanders

Mathew Barzal (C): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-16

Goals · the league's own clips

7 goals

Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.

NYR · P1 03:48 · O. Bjorkstrand (P. Dorofeyev, S. Durzi) · clip

NYR · P1 04:43 · J. Miller (M. Zibanejad, A. Fox) · PP · clip

NYR · P2 03:27 · T. Kartye (A. Fox, M. Rempe) · clip

NYR · P2 13:12 · G. Perreault (V. Gavrikov, J. Miller) · clip

NYR · P2 17:04 · W. Cuylle (N. Laba, M. Pettersson) · clip

NYR · P3 01:23 · M. Zibanejad (A. Fox, P. Dorofeyev) · PP · clip

NYI · P3 11:22 · P. Engvall (C. Eiserman, L. Foudy) · clip

Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger