OTT at VGK
Ottawa Senators at Vegas Golden Knights. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- T-Mobile Arena
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
2 nights off · 3400 km since the last game, 3 time zones
2 nights off · 2800 km since the last game, 3 time zones
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Linus Ullmark
Carter Hart
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Ottawa Senators
L1 Andre Burakovsky (below the league middle) · Tim Stutzle (above the league middle) · Drake Batherson (top tenth of the league)
L2 Michael Amadio (above the league middle) · Shane Pinto (below the league middle) · Claude Giroux (below the league middle)
L3 Ridly Greig (below the league middle) · Dylan Cozens (below the league middle) · Fabian Zetterlund (above the league middle)
D1 Thomas Chabot (above the league middle) · Jordan Spence (above the league middle)
D2 Tyler Kleven (above the league middle) · Carter Yakemchuk
PP1 Andre Burakovsky (below the league middle) · Dylan Cozens (below the league middle) · Tim Stutzle (above the league middle) · Drake Batherson (top tenth of the league) · Thomas Chabot (above the league middle)
Vegas Golden Knights
L1 Ivan Barbashev (above the league middle) · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Mark Stone (above the league middle)
L2 Brett Howden (above the league middle) · William Karlsson · Mitch Marner (top tenth of the league)
L3 Trevor Connelly · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Raphael Lavoie
D1 Brayden McNabb (above the league middle) · Shea Theodore (above the league middle)
D2 Parker Wotherspoon (above the league middle) · Rasmus Andersson (top tenth of the league)
PP1 Mark Stone (above the league middle) · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Trevor Connelly · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Victor Olofsson (below the league middle)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Ottawa Senators
Thomas Chabot (D): Day To Day (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-17, expected back 2026-10-21
Jake Sanderson (D): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-10-03, expected back 2026-10-21
Kurtis MacDermid (LW): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-31
William Eklund (LW): Out (ankle), listed since 2026-10-08, expected back 2027-01-05
Vegas Golden Knights
Kai Uchacz (C): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-24
Lukas Cormier (D): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-22
Parker Wotherspoon (D): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-12, expected back 2026-10-20
Victor Olofsson (LW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-06, expected back 2026-11-02
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.