VGK at WSH
Vegas Golden Knights at Washington Capitals. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Capital One Arena
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
2 nights off · 3400 km since the last game, 3 time zones
1 night off · 3700 km since the last game, 3 time zones
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Carter Hart
Logan Thompson
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Vegas Golden Knights
L1 Ivan Barbashev (above the league middle) · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Mark Stone (above the league middle)
L2 Brett Howden (above the league middle) · William Karlsson · Mitch Marner (top tenth of the league)
L3 Trevor Connelly · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Raphael Lavoie
D1 Brayden McNabb (above the league middle) · Shea Theodore (above the league middle)
D2 Parker Wotherspoon (above the league middle) · Rasmus Andersson (top tenth of the league)
PP1 Mark Stone (above the league middle) · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Trevor Connelly · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Victor Olofsson (below the league middle)
Washington Capitals
L1 Alex Ovechkin (below the league middle) · Ilya Protas · Aliaksei Protas (below the league middle)
L2 Alex Tuch (top tenth of the league) · Justin Sourdif (below the league middle) · Tom Wilson (above the league middle)
L3 Ryan Leonard (above the league middle) · Dylan Strome (above the league middle) · Jordan Kyrou (below the league middle)
D1 Jakob Chychrun (top tenth of the league) · Timothy Liljegren (below the league middle)
D2 Martin Fehervary (above the league middle) · Vincent Desharnais
PP1 Tom Wilson (above the league middle) · Dylan Strome (above the league middle) · Ryan Leonard (above the league middle) · Alex Ovechkin (below the league middle) · Jakob Chychrun (top tenth of the league)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Vegas Golden Knights
Kai Uchacz (C): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-24
Lukas Cormier (D): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-22
Parker Wotherspoon (D): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-12, expected back 2026-10-20
Victor Olofsson (LW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-06, expected back 2026-11-02
Washington Capitals
Justin Sourdif (RW): Out (illness), listed since 2026-10-16, expected back 2026-10-20
Matt Roy (D): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-03, expected back 2026-10-20
Patrick Thomas (C): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-19, expected back 2026-10-24
Pierre-Luc Dubois (LW): Out (illness), listed since 2026-10-10, expected back 2026-10-20
Rasmus Sandin (D): Out (knee), listed since 2026-04-20, expected back 2026-12-26
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.