OTT at EDM
Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Rogers Place
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
second of a back-to-back · fourth in six · game 5 of a road trip · rest disadvantage
2 nights off · rest advantage
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Linus Ullmark
Devon Levi
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Ottawa Senators
L1 Andre Burakovsky (below the league middle) · Tim Stutzle (above the league middle) · Drake Batherson (top tenth of the league)
L2 Michael Amadio (above the league middle) · Shane Pinto (below the league middle) · Claude Giroux (below the league middle)
L3 Ridly Greig (below the league middle) · Dylan Cozens (below the league middle) · Fabian Zetterlund (above the league middle)
D1 Thomas Chabot (above the league middle) · Jordan Spence (above the league middle)
D2 Tyler Kleven (above the league middle) · Carter Yakemchuk
PP1 Andre Burakovsky (below the league middle) · Dylan Cozens (below the league middle) · Tim Stutzle (above the league middle) · Drake Batherson (top tenth of the league) · Thomas Chabot (above the league middle)
Edmonton Oilers
L1 Vasily Podkolzin (above the league middle) · Connor McDavid (above the league middle) · Leon Draisaitl (top tenth of the league)
L2 Filip Hallander · Jason Dickinson (below the league middle) · Kasperi Kapanen (above the league middle)
L3 Alex Formenton · Owen Michaels · Mathieu Joseph (below the league middle)
D1 Mattias Ekholm (below the league middle) · Evan Bouchard (above the league middle)
D2 Ryan Shea (above the league middle) · Connor Murphy (above the league middle)
PP1 Vasily Podkolzin (above the league middle) · Kasperi Kapanen (above the league middle) · Leon Draisaitl (top tenth of the league) · Evan Bouchard (above the league middle) · Connor McDavid (above the league middle)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Ottawa Senators
Thomas Chabot (D): Day To Day (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-17, expected back 2026-10-21
Jake Sanderson (D): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-10-03, expected back 2026-10-21
Kurtis MacDermid (LW): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-31
William Eklund (LW): Out (ankle), listed since 2026-10-08, expected back 2027-01-05
Edmonton Oilers
Alec Regula (D): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-24
Atro Leppänen (D): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-30, expected back 2026-10-31
Frederik Andersen (G): Out (knee), listed since 2026-08-26, expected back 2026-12-30
James Stefan (RW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-31
Jason Dickinson (C): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-10-15, expected back 2026-10-28
Matt Savoie (C): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-08-26, expected back 2026-11-24
Mattias Janmark (C): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-02-26, expected back 2026-10-26
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (C): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-22
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.