Tyler Seguin

Against a 3.5% expectation, this deal gave the club $0.40M of room its plan did not expect (where this number comes from) over 2 seasons with a cap on file.

• 2026–27: 9.5% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (announced cap) · expected 9.4% of $104.7M · gap $0.06M (where this number comes from)
• 2027–28: 8.7% (where this number comes from) of $113.5M (league projection) · expected 9.1% of $108.4M · gap −$0.47M (where this number comes from)
• 2028–29: at most 9.5% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (the MOU floor; no cap is projected yet and the real one can only be higher, so it is left off the chart) · expected 8.8% of $112.1M
• 2029–30: at most 9.5% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (the MOU floor; no cap is projected yet and the real one can only be higher, so it is left off the chart) · expected 8.5% of $116.1M
• 2030–31: at most 9.5% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (the MOU floor; no cap is projected yet and the real one can only be higher, so it is left off the chart) · expected 8.2% of $120.1M
• 2031–32: at most 9.5% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (the MOU floor; no cap is projected yet and the real one can only be higher, so it is left off the chart) · expected 7.9% of $124.3M
• 2032–33: at most 9.5% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (the MOU floor; no cap is projected yet and the real one can only be higher, so it is left off the chart) · expected 7.7% of $128.7M
• 2033–34: at most 9.5% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (the MOU floor; no cap is projected yet and the real one can only be higher, so it is left off the chart) · expected 7.4% of $133.2M

Flat-cap tax (+) or windfall (−)

−$0.40M (where this number comes from)

Relative to the league

$1.41M (where this number comes from) over 2 seasons: more room lost than the league's deals in force lost (2026-27 league rate -6.3%, n 589; 2027-28 league rate -12.1%, n 416)

Buyer's-market discount

Not on file (applies only to deals signed in the 2020 and 2021 flat-cap summers)

The same at other expectations

2.5%: −$2.14M · 3.5%: −$0.40M · 4.0%: $0.40M · 4.8%: $1.62M

At the league guidance on file when signed

−$0.23M (the dated guidance for the seasons it covered, then 3.5%)

Mean share: expected · realised

9.2% · 9.1%

Flat equivalent

Not on file (known once every season of the term has a cap)

Netted

Retention none on file; LTIR and bonus overage Not on file (no allowed source states them per contract)

Regime

Signed in the rising (2005-06 to 2019-20) years; runs through fast rise (2024-25 to 2027-28), MOU formula (2028-29 on).

Seasons

1 announced · 1 projected · 6 on the MOU formula (a guess)

Paid

$9.85M (where this number comes from)9.5% of the cap in 2026–27

Worth

$6.00MCap: paid at or above the market

Worth is what standard deals signed at 26 or older pay for production ranked where his projected points rank. It is a market price, not a judgement of the player.

Term

8 seasons, 2026–27 to 2033–34

Signed

2018-12-30 (2018–19: 12.4% of that cap)

At expiry

UFA

Trade protection

nmc: NMC (from a 2025–26 clause list; 2026–27 terms not separately confirmed)

Retained

None on file

Contract type

standard

Rules it was signed under

2013 CBA: at most 8 seasons with the incumbent club, 7 elsewhere; no season above 20% of the cap in force at signing.

Year-by-year salary and bonuses

Not on file (structure needs a licensed contract source (owner decision pending))

Tier

certified

Sources

• NHL.com

Quoted

"eight-year, $78.8 million" (Benn, Seguin need to be better, Stars GM agrees)

Archive

The current deal, from the live ledger. The archive holds 855 standard contracts; year-by-year structure is unknown on every one.

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