Connor Murphy

Against a 3.5% expectation, this deal gave the club $0.22M of room its plan did not expect (where this number comes from) over 2 seasons with a cap on file.

• 2026–27: 3.9% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (announced cap) · expected 3.9% of $104.0M · gap $0.00M (where this number comes from)
• 2027–28: 3.6% (where this number comes from) of $113.5M (league projection) · expected 3.8% of $107.6M · gap −$0.22M (where this number comes from)
• 2028–29: at most 3.9% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (the MOU floor; no cap is projected yet and the real one can only be higher, so it is left off the chart) · expected 3.7% of $111.4M
• 2029–30: at most 3.9% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (the MOU floor; no cap is projected yet and the real one can only be higher, so it is left off the chart) · expected 3.6% of $115.3M
• 2030–31: at most 3.9% (where this number comes from) of $104.0M (the MOU floor; no cap is projected yet and the real one can only be higher, so it is left off the chart) · expected 3.4% of $119.3M

Flat-cap tax (+) or windfall (−)

−$0.22M (where this number comes from)

Relative to the league

$0.53M (where this number comes from) over 2 seasons: more room lost than the league's deals in force lost (2026-27 league rate -6.3%, n 589; 2027-28 league rate -12.1%, n 416)

Buyer's-market discount

Not on file (applies only to deals signed in the 2020 and 2021 flat-cap summers)

The same at other expectations

2.5%: −$0.27M · 3.5%: −$0.22M · 4.0%: −$0.20M · 4.8%: −$0.17M

At the league guidance on file when signed

$0.00M (the dated guidance for the seasons it covered, then 3.5%)

Mean share: expected · realised

3.9% · 3.8%

Flat equivalent

Not on file (known once every season of the term has a cap)

Netted

Retention none on file; LTIR and bonus overage Not on file (no allowed source states them per contract)

Regime

Signed in the fast rise (2024-25 to 2027-28) years; runs through fast rise (2024-25 to 2027-28), MOU formula (2028-29 on).

Seasons

1 announced · 1 projected · 3 on the MOU formula (a guess)

Paid

$4.10M (where this number comes from)3.9% of the cap in 2026–27

Worth

$1.75MCap: paid at or above the market

Worth is what standard deals signed at 26 or older pay for production ranked where his projected points rank. It is a market price, not a judgement of the player.

Term

5 seasons, 2026–27 to 2030–31

Signed

2026-06-22 (2025–26: 4.3% of that cap)

At expiry

Not on file (status not on file)

Trade protection

nmc+ntc: Identical to Dickinson: NMC until June 15, 2029, then 16-team no-trade list through 2030-31

Retained

None on file

Contract type

standard

Rules it was signed under

2020 MOU: at most 8 seasons with the incumbent club, 7 elsewhere; no season above 20% of the cap in force at signing.

Year-by-year salary and bonuses

Not on file (structure needs a licensed contract source (owner decision pending))

Tier

certified

Sources

• NHL.com

Quoted

"5-year, $20.5 million" (Murphy signs 5-year, $20.5 million contract with Oilers)

Archive

The current deal, from the live ledger. The archive holds 855 standard contracts; year-by-year structure is unknown on every one.

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