TBL at UTA
Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Mammoth. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Delta Center
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
second of a back-to-back · game 3 of a road trip · rest disadvantage
1 night off · 1100 km since the last game, 1 time zone · rest advantage
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Karel Vejmelka
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Tampa Bay Lightning
L1 Gage Goncalves (above the league middle) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league)
L2 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Anthony Cirelli (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle)
L3 Ilya Mikheyev (above the league middle) · Zemgus Girgensons (below the league middle) · Pontus Holmberg (below the league middle)
D1 J.J. Moser (above the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
D2 Ryan McDonagh (above the league middle) · Erik Cernak (above the league middle)
PP1 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
Utah Mammoth
L1 Clayton Keller (below the league middle) · Nick Schmaltz (above the league middle) · Vincent Trocheck (below the league middle)
L2 Anders Lee (bottom tenth of the league) · Logan Cooley (top tenth of the league) · Dylan Guenther (top tenth of the league)
L3 Lawson Crouse (above the league middle) · Barrett Hayton (bottom tenth of the league) · Jack McBain (bottom tenth of the league)
D1 Mikhail Sergachev (above the league middle) · MacKenzie Weegar (below the league middle)
D2 Nate Schmidt (above the league middle) · John Marino (below the league middle)
PP1 Nick Schmaltz (above the league middle) · Logan Cooley (top tenth of the league) · Clayton Keller (below the league middle) · Dylan Guenther (top tenth of the league) · Mikhail Sergachev (above the league middle)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Yanni Gourde (C): Out (hip), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-12-02
Utah Mammoth
Maveric Lamoureux (D): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2027-02-12
Michael Carcone (LW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-09, expected back 2026-10-24
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.