SJS at DAL
San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- American Airlines Center
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
second of a back-to-back · third game in four nights · game 3 of a road trip · 1400 km since the last game · rest disadvantage
1 night off · 1500 km since the last game, 1 time zone · rest advantage
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Alex Nedeljkovic
Jake Oettinger
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
San Jose Sharks
L1 Mason Marchment (above the league middle) · Will Smith (top tenth of the league) · Igor Chernyshov (above the league middle)
L2 Ivar Stenberg · Alexander Wennberg (above the league middle) · Kiefer Sherwood (above the league middle)
L3 Collin Graf (above the league middle) · Michael Misa (above the league middle) · Tyler Toffoli (below the league middle)
D1 Darnell Nurse (above the league middle) · Michael Kesselring (below the league middle)
D2 Sam Dickinson (below the league middle) · Jacob Trouba (above the league middle)
PP1 Will Smith (top tenth of the league) · Alexander Wennberg (above the league middle) · Igor Chernyshov (above the league middle) · Luca Cagnoni · Ivar Stenberg
Dallas Stars
L1 Sam Steel (above the league middle) · Wyatt Johnston (top tenth of the league) · Mikko Rantanen (above the league middle)
L2 Jason Robertson (top tenth of the league) · Roope Hintz (bottom tenth of the league) · Jamie Benn (above the league middle)
L3 Justin Hryckowian (above the league middle) · Arttu Hyry · Tyler Seguin
D1 Esa Lindell (above the league middle) · Miro Heiskanen (below the league middle)
D2 Thomas Harley (below the league middle) · Nils Lundkvist (above the league middle)
PP1 Wyatt Johnston (top tenth of the league) · Roope Hintz (bottom tenth of the league) · Mikko Rantanen (above the league middle) · Miro Heiskanen (below the league middle) · Jason Robertson (top tenth of the league)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
San Jose Sharks
Quentin Musty (LW): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-12-01
Dallas Stars
Cameron Hughes (C): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-21, expected back 2026-10-25
Matt Duchene (C): Out (abdomen), listed since 2026-09-30, expected back 2027-01-12
Oskar Back (C): Out (finger), listed since 2026-10-14, expected back 2026-10-22
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.