VGK at TOR
Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Scotiabank Arena
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
1 night off · game 3 of a road trip
2 nights off · 1900 km since the last game, 1 time zone
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Carter Hart
Anthony Stolarz
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Vegas Golden Knights
L1 Ivan Barbashev (above the league middle) · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Mark Stone (above the league middle)
L2 Brett Howden (above the league middle) · William Karlsson · Mitch Marner (top tenth of the league)
L3 Trevor Connelly · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Raphael Lavoie
D1 Brayden McNabb (above the league middle) · Shea Theodore (above the league middle)
D2 Parker Wotherspoon (above the league middle) · Rasmus Andersson (top tenth of the league)
PP1 Mark Stone (above the league middle) · Tomas Hertl (bottom tenth of the league) · Trevor Connelly · Jack Eichel (above the league middle) · Victor Olofsson (below the league middle)
Toronto Maple Leafs
L1 Kirill Marchenko (above the league middle) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle) · Jack Roslovic (above the league middle)
L2 Easton Cowan (above the league middle) · Nick Paul (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league)
L3 Gavin McKenna · Colton Sissons (below the league middle) · Bo Groulx
D1 Jake McCabe (above the league middle) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league)
D2 Morgan Rielly (above the league middle) · Chris Tanev
PP1 Kirill Marchenko (above the league middle) · Easton Cowan (above the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Vegas Golden Knights
Kai Uchacz (C): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-24
Lukas Cormier (D): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-22
Parker Wotherspoon (D): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-12, expected back 2026-10-20
Victor Olofsson (LW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-06, expected back 2026-11-02
Toronto Maple Leafs
Cade Webber (D): Out (elbow), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-31
Chris Tanev (D): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-10, expected back 2026-10-22
Dakota Joshua (C): Out (abdomen), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-24
Elvis Merzlikins (G): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-08-20, expected back 2027-03-30
John Tavares (C): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-15, expected back 2026-10-31
Max Domi (C): Out (back), listed since 2026-09-11, expected back 2026-11-21
Miles Wood (LW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-15, expected back 2026-10-22
William Villeneuve (D): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-31
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.