Tue, Dec 15, 7:00 p.m. ET · All games
TBL at PIT
Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- PPG Paints Arena
Pre-game price · not yet frozen
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
Schedule spot
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
1 night off · third game in four nights · game 2 of a road trip · 900 km since the last game, 1 time zone
2 nights off · 1400 km since the last game
Starters · depth chart 2026-10-12
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Arturs Silovs
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-10-12
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Tampa Bay Lightning
L1 Gage Goncalves (above the league middle) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league)
L2 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Anthony Cirelli (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle)
L3 Ilya Mikheyev (above the league middle) · Zemgus Girgensons (below the league middle) · Pontus Holmberg (below the league middle)
D1 J.J. Moser (above the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
D2 Ryan McDonagh (above the league middle) · Erik Cernak (above the league middle)
PP1 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
Pittsburgh Penguins
L1 Rickard Rakell (above the league middle) · Sidney Crosby (top tenth of the league) · Bryan Rust (above the league middle)
L2 Egor Chinakhov (top tenth of the league) · Thomas Novak (below the league middle) · Evgeni Malkin (above the league middle)
L3 Hendrix Lapierre (below the league middle) · Ben Kindel (below the league middle) · Ville Koivunen
D1 Declan Carlile · Erik Karlsson (above the league middle)
D2 Samuel Girard (above the league middle) · Kaedan Korczak (below the league middle)
PP1 Ben Kindel (below the league middle) · Evgeni Malkin (above the league middle) · Rickard Rakell (above the league middle) · Erik Karlsson (above the league middle) · Sidney Crosby (top tenth of the league)
Injury listings · as of 2026-10-18
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Yanni Gourde (C): Out (hip), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-12-02
Pittsburgh Penguins
Samuel Girard (D): Day To Day (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-17, expected back 2026-10-19
Egor Chinakhov (RW): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-16, expected back 2026-10-22
Justin Brazeau (RW): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-27, expected back 2026-10-22
Ryan Graves (D): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-27, expected back 2026-10-24
Trevor van Riemsdyk (D): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-10, expected back 2026-10-19
Officials
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.
Not on file (the league has not named the officials yet)