OTT at NYI
Ottawa Senators at New York Islanders. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- UBS Arena
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
6 nights off · game 2 of a road trip · 6000 km since the last game, 6 time zones · rest advantage
second of a back-to-back · rest disadvantage
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Linus Ullmark
Ilya Sorokin
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Ottawa Senators
L1 Andre Burakovsky (below the league middle) · Tim Stutzle (above the league middle) · Drake Batherson (top tenth of the league)
L2 Michael Amadio (above the league middle) · Shane Pinto (below the league middle) · Claude Giroux (below the league middle)
L3 Ridly Greig (below the league middle) · Dylan Cozens (below the league middle) · Fabian Zetterlund (above the league middle)
D1 Thomas Chabot (above the league middle) · Jordan Spence (above the league middle)
D2 Tyler Kleven (above the league middle) · Carter Yakemchuk
PP1 Andre Burakovsky (below the league middle) · Dylan Cozens (below the league middle) · Tim Stutzle (above the league middle) · Drake Batherson (top tenth of the league) · Thomas Chabot (above the league middle)
New York Islanders
L1 Emil Heineman (above the league middle) · Bo Horvat (above the league middle) · Kyle Palmieri (bottom tenth of the league)
L2 Brayden Schenn (above the league middle) · Calum Ritchie (above the league middle) · Victor Eklund
L3 Simon Holmstrom (above the league middle) · Jean-Gabriel Pageau (top tenth of the league) · Anthony Duclair (above the league middle)
D1 Logan Stanley (above the league middle) · Matthew Schaefer (top tenth of the league)
D2 Adam Pelech (below the league middle) · Ryan Pulock (below the league middle)
PP1 Kyle Palmieri (bottom tenth of the league) · Bo Horvat (above the league middle) · Brayden Schenn (above the league middle) · Matias Maccelli (above the league middle) · Matthew Schaefer (top tenth of the league)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Ottawa Senators
Thomas Chabot (D): Day To Day (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-17, expected back 2026-10-21
Jake Sanderson (D): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-10-03, expected back 2026-10-21
Kurtis MacDermid (LW): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-31
William Eklund (LW): Out (ankle), listed since 2026-10-08, expected back 2027-01-05
New York Islanders
Calum Ritchie (C): Day To Day (lower body), listed since 2026-10-17, expected back 2026-10-20
Matias Maccelli (LW): Day To Day (lower body), listed since 2026-10-17, expected back 2026-10-20
Alexander Romanov (D): Out (acl), listed since 2026-10-06, expected back 2027-04-08
Mathew Barzal (C): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-10-20
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.