Sat, Jan 16, 7:00 p.m. ET · All games
COL at WSH
Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Capital One Arena
Pre-game price · not yet frozen
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
Schedule spot
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
1 night off · game 3 of a road trip
1 night off
Starters · depth chart 2026-10-12
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Mackenzie Blackwood
Logan Thompson
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-10-12
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Colorado Avalanche
L1 Artturi Lehkonen (below the league middle) · Nathan MacKinnon (above the league middle) · Nazem Kadri (bottom tenth of the league)
L2 Gabriel Landeskog (below the league middle) · Brock Nelson (above the league middle) · Martin Necas (top tenth of the league)
L3 Jaden Schwartz (above the league middle) · Fedor Svechkov (below the league middle) · T.J. Hughes
D1 Devon Toews (below the league middle) · Cale Makar (above the league middle)
D2 Brett Kulak (below the league middle) · Noah Juulsen
PP1 T.J. Hughes · Nazem Kadri (bottom tenth of the league) · Nathan MacKinnon (above the league middle) · Martin Necas (top tenth of the league) · Cale Makar (above the league middle)
Washington Capitals
L1 Alex Ovechkin (below the league middle) · Ilya Protas · Aliaksei Protas (below the league middle)
L2 Alex Tuch (top tenth of the league) · Justin Sourdif (below the league middle) · Tom Wilson (above the league middle)
L3 Ryan Leonard (above the league middle) · Dylan Strome (above the league middle) · Jordan Kyrou (below the league middle)
D1 Jakob Chychrun (top tenth of the league) · Timothy Liljegren (below the league middle)
D2 Martin Fehervary (above the league middle) · Vincent Desharnais
PP1 Tom Wilson (above the league middle) · Dylan Strome (above the league middle) · Ryan Leonard (above the league middle) · Alex Ovechkin (below the league middle) · Jakob Chychrun (top tenth of the league)
Injury listings · as of 2026-10-18
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Colorado Avalanche
Georgii Merkulov (C): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-28
Logan O'Connor (RW): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-25
Nicolas Roy (C): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-14, expected back 2026-10-23
Zachary L'Heureux (LW): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-13, expected back 2026-10-23
Washington Capitals
Justin Sourdif (RW): Out (illness), listed since 2026-10-16, expected back 2026-10-20
Matt Roy (D): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-03, expected back 2026-10-20
Patrick Thomas (C): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-19, expected back 2026-10-24
Pierre-Luc Dubois (LW): Out (illness), listed since 2026-10-10, expected back 2026-10-20
Rasmus Sandin (D): Out (knee), listed since 2026-04-20, expected back 2026-12-26
Officials
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.
Not on file (the league has not named the officials yet)