Fri, Mar 5, 7:00 p.m. ET · All games
TOR at CAR
Toronto Maple Leafs at Carolina Hurricanes. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Lenovo Center
Pre-game price · not yet frozen
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
Schedule spot
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
1 night off · 900 km since the last game
1 night off
Starters · depth chart 2026-10-12
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Anthony Stolarz
Pyotr Kochetkov
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-10-12
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Toronto Maple Leafs
L1 Kirill Marchenko (above the league middle) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle) · Jack Roslovic (above the league middle)
L2 Easton Cowan (above the league middle) · Nick Paul (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league)
L3 Gavin McKenna · Colton Sissons (below the league middle) · Bo Groulx
D1 Jake McCabe (above the league middle) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league)
D2 Morgan Rielly (above the league middle) · Chris Tanev
PP1 Kirill Marchenko (above the league middle) · Easton Cowan (above the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle)
Carolina Hurricanes
L1 William Carrier (below the league middle) · Sebastian Aho (above the league middle) · Andrei Svechnikov (top tenth of the league)
L2 Taylor Hall (below the league middle) · Logan Stankoven (below the league middle) · Jackson Blake (bottom tenth of the league)
L3 Nikolaj Ehlers (top tenth of the league) · Mark Jankowski (above the league middle) · Jordan Martinook (below the league middle)
D1 Jaccob Slavin (below the league middle) · Jalen Chatfield (below the league middle)
D2 K'Andre Miller (above the league middle) · Sean Walker (below the league middle)
PP1 Andrei Svechnikov (top tenth of the league) · Sebastian Aho (above the league middle) · Jackson Blake (bottom tenth of the league) · Nikolaj Ehlers (top tenth of the league) · Shayne Gostisbehere (top tenth of the league)
Injury listings · as of 2026-10-18
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Cade Webber (D): Out (elbow), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-31
Chris Tanev (D): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-10, expected back 2026-10-22
Dakota Joshua (C): Out (abdomen), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-24
Elvis Merzlikins (G): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-08-20, expected back 2027-03-30
John Tavares (C): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-15, expected back 2026-10-31
Max Domi (C): Out (back), listed since 2026-09-11, expected back 2026-11-21
Miles Wood (LW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-15, expected back 2026-10-22
William Villeneuve (D): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-31
Carolina Hurricanes
Jordan Staal (C): Out (calf), listed since 2026-10-10, expected back 2026-12-03
Seth Jarvis (C): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-06-26, expected back 2026-10-20
Taylor Hall (LW): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-13, expected back 2026-10-24
Officials
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.
Not on file (the league has not named the officials yet)