NYI at BOS
New York Islanders at Boston Bruins. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- TD Garden
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
1 night off · third game in four nights · game 3 of a road trip · 1900 km since the last game
1 night off · fourth in six
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Ilya Sorokin
Jeremy Swayman
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
New York Islanders
L1 Emil Heineman (above the league middle) · Bo Horvat (above the league middle) · Kyle Palmieri (bottom tenth of the league)
L2 Brayden Schenn (above the league middle) · Calum Ritchie (above the league middle) · Victor Eklund
L3 Simon Holmstrom (above the league middle) · Jean-Gabriel Pageau (top tenth of the league) · Anthony Duclair (above the league middle)
D1 Logan Stanley (above the league middle) · Matthew Schaefer (top tenth of the league)
D2 Adam Pelech (below the league middle) · Ryan Pulock (below the league middle)
PP1 Kyle Palmieri (bottom tenth of the league) · Bo Horvat (above the league middle) · Brayden Schenn (above the league middle) · Matias Maccelli (above the league middle) · Matthew Schaefer (top tenth of the league)
Boston Bruins
L1 Morgan Geekie (top tenth of the league) · Pavel Zacha (top tenth of the league) · David Pastrnak (above the league middle)
L2 Marat Khusnutdinov (above the league middle) · Fraser Minten (above the league middle) · JJ Peterka (top tenth of the league)
L3 Casey Mittelstadt (above the league middle) · Elias Lindholm (below the league middle) · James Hagens
D1 Hampus Lindholm (below the league middle) · William Borgen (above the league middle)
D2 Nikita Zadorov (below the league middle) · Connor Clifton
PP1 Morgan Geekie (top tenth of the league) · Elias Lindholm (below the league middle) · Pavel Zacha (top tenth of the league) · David Pastrnak (above the league middle) · Frederic Brunet
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
New York Islanders
Calum Ritchie (C): Day To Day (lower body), listed since 2026-10-17, expected back 2026-10-20
Matias Maccelli (LW): Day To Day (lower body), listed since 2026-10-17, expected back 2026-10-20
Alexander Romanov (D): Out (acl), listed since 2026-10-06, expected back 2027-04-08
Mathew Barzal (C): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-10-20
Boston Bruins
Pavel Zacha (C): Day To Day (upper body), listed since 2026-10-16, expected back 2026-10-20
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.