Thu, Mar 25, 7:00 p.m. ET · All games
TOR at BUF
Toronto Maple Leafs at Buffalo Sabres. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- KeyBank Center
Pre-game price · not yet frozen
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
Schedule spot
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
2 nights off · game 4 of a road trip
1 night off · fourth in six
Starters · depth chart 2026-10-12
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Anthony Stolarz
Colten Ellis
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-10-12
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Toronto Maple Leafs
L1 Kirill Marchenko (above the league middle) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle) · Jack Roslovic (above the league middle)
L2 Easton Cowan (above the league middle) · Nick Paul (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league)
L3 Gavin McKenna · Colton Sissons (below the league middle) · Bo Groulx
D1 Jake McCabe (above the league middle) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league)
D2 Morgan Rielly (above the league middle) · Chris Tanev
PP1 Kirill Marchenko (above the league middle) · Easton Cowan (above the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle)
Buffalo Sabres
L1 Josh Norris (above the league middle) · Tage Thompson (top tenth of the league) · Jack Quinn (below the league middle)
L2 Zach Benson (below the league middle) · Noah Ostlund (above the league middle) · Josh Doan (above the league middle)
L3 Peyton Krebs (below the league middle) · Ryan McLeod (above the league middle) · Justin Danforth
D1 Mattias Samuelsson (top tenth of the league) · Rasmus Dahlin (above the league middle)
D2 Olen Zellweger (below the league middle) · Owen Power (above the league middle)
PP1 Jack Quinn (below the league middle) · Zach Benson (below the league middle) · Noah Ostlund (above the league middle) · Tage Thompson (top tenth of the league) · Rasmus Dahlin (above the league middle)
Injury listings · as of 2026-10-18
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Cade Webber (D): Out (elbow), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-31
Chris Tanev (D): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-10, expected back 2026-10-22
Dakota Joshua (C): Out (abdomen), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-24
Elvis Merzlikins (G): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-08-20, expected back 2027-03-30
John Tavares (C): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-15, expected back 2026-10-31
Max Domi (C): Out (back), listed since 2026-09-11, expected back 2026-11-21
Miles Wood (LW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-15, expected back 2026-10-22
William Villeneuve (D): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-31
Buffalo Sabres
Alex Lyon (G): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-24
Conor Timmins (D): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-24
Jack Rathbone (D): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-24
Jason Zucker (LW): Out (abdomen), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-21
Matt Grzelcyk (D): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-10-13, expected back 2026-10-21
Rasmus Dahlin (D): Out (upper-body), listed since 2026-10-12, expected back 2026-10-21
Officials
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.
Not on file (the league has not named the officials yet)