DET at NYI
Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- UBS Arena
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
2 nights off
1 night off · 1400 km since the last game, 1 time zone
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
John Gibson
Ilya Sorokin
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Detroit Red Wings
L1 Viktor Arvidsson (above the league middle) · Dylan Larkin (below the league middle) · Lucas Raymond (above the league middle)
L2 Alex DeBrincat (above the league middle) · Emmitt Finnie (bottom tenth of the league) · Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
L3 Michael Rasmussen (below the league middle) · Andrew Copp (bottom tenth of the league) · Keegan Kolesar (below the league middle)
D1 Albert Johansson (above the league middle) · Moritz Seider (above the league middle)
D2 Ben Chiarot (above the league middle) · Anton Johansson
PP1 Viktor Arvidsson (above the league middle) · Dylan Larkin (below the league middle) · Lucas Raymond (above the league middle) · Alex DeBrincat (above the league middle) · Moritz Seider (above the league middle)
New York Islanders
L1 Emil Heineman (above the league middle) · Bo Horvat (above the league middle) · Kyle Palmieri (bottom tenth of the league)
L2 Brayden Schenn (above the league middle) · Calum Ritchie (above the league middle) · Victor Eklund
L3 Simon Holmstrom (above the league middle) · Jean-Gabriel Pageau (top tenth of the league) · Anthony Duclair (above the league middle)
D1 Logan Stanley (above the league middle) · Matthew Schaefer (top tenth of the league)
D2 Adam Pelech (below the league middle) · Ryan Pulock (below the league middle)
PP1 Kyle Palmieri (bottom tenth of the league) · Bo Horvat (above the league middle) · Brayden Schenn (above the league middle) · Matias Maccelli (above the league middle) · Matthew Schaefer (top tenth of the league)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Detroit Red Wings
J.T. Compher (LW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-06, expected back 2026-10-22
Marco Kasper (C): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-03, expected back 2026-10-20
Mason Appleton (C): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-06, expected back 2026-10-26
New York Islanders
Calum Ritchie (C): Day To Day (lower body), listed since 2026-10-17, expected back 2026-10-20
Matias Maccelli (LW): Day To Day (lower body), listed since 2026-10-17, expected back 2026-10-20
Alexander Romanov (D): Out (acl), listed since 2026-10-06, expected back 2027-04-08
Mathew Barzal (C): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-10-20
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.