ResearchStart with a team or player
Shared NHL reference 2026-10-1832 clubs / 786 listed players

One reference. Every amount keeps its meaning.

Reviewed reference. Observed rosters, not confirmed game lineups. Older ledger amounts remain visible and unreverified. Scenarios stay hypothetical.

20261018-typed-r6b / 38 staged assertions reviewed / 138 held records given a disposition

Reported AAV for this season170source-qualified references
Reported annual cap hit5kept separate from AAV
AAV comparison eligible159does not establish cap room
Current club charge qualified0adjustments remain unqualified
Release and source fingerprints

Manifest 5f9ea2bb6b7ee2c46474eb838a5b8d885382bc73bbd3cf59f0755e8adc59b445
Projection f64c03ab93bb2c7f985b3451f31b9a747267ec9a65d9b03814fd102d2c8651fd
Policy 90bcedbfb8faccc05667d81b503b59825cbaad4eee709ff18a053aa1f5bb4e1b
Roster 4bd8b431808e8da074c97db2eb9f34b4016483d317760335321c2dc4c0af8fc5
Contracts e872d0204c77565d9886de94dd42ff4897a5dc090fbe406ff6f57d125bc17fd2

4 of 10 columns shown · open a row for the other 6
Columns
PlayerClubComparison AAVEvidence statusDetails
Morgan Geekie / NHL 8479987BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
James Hagens / NHL 8485395BOSUnqualifiedamount qualified expiry held
ELCslide/currentexpiry unresolved; no lastSeason derivation from signing alone

Reported AAV period unresolved; excluded from current-season comparison.
Tanner Jeannot / NHL 8479661BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Mark Kastelic / NHL 8480355BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Marat Khusnutdinov / NHL 8482177BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Sean Kuraly / NHL 8476374BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Elias Lindholm / NHL 8477496BOSUS$7,750,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Fraser Minten / NHL 8483489BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Casey Mittelstadt / NHL 8479999BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
David Pastrnak / NHL 8477956BOSUS$11,250,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
JJ Peterka / NHL 8482175BOSUS$7,700,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Matthew Poitras / NHL 8483505BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Pavel Zacha / NHL 8478401BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Jonathan Aspirot / NHL 8481219BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Will Borgen / NHL 8478840BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Frederic Brunet / NHL 8483017BOSUnqualifiedqualified separate cap hit only
No gross AAV assertion; not eligible for grossAav arithmetic

Type varies by season:2026 two-way;2027 one-way
Connor Clifton / NHL 8477365BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Hampus Lindholm / NHL 8476854BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Mason Lohrei / NHL 8482511BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Charlie McAvoy / NHL 8479325BOSUS$9,500,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Nikita Zadorov / NHL 8477507BOSUS$5,000,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Michael DiPietro / NHL 8480022BOSUnqualifiedqualified for successor
Original reported AAV below current salary minimum; adjusted charge not derived.
Jeremy Swayman / NHL 8480280BOSUS$8,250,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Zach Benson / NHL 8484145BUFUS$7,500,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Sam Carrick / NHL 8475842BUFUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.

AAV, annual cap hit, salary and contract total stay separate. Source claims remain visible even when a conflicting amount is held. AAV comparison does not certify current team charges, clauses or eligibility.

CapOrCup measure · 2025–26

GSAx

Goals a goalie saved above what the shots he faced were worth.

goals saved above expected

GSAx

Definition. Goals a goalie saved above what the shots he faced were worth.

Inputs. shots (measured), xg-model (derived). Built from. The expected-goals model applied to shots against.

Reliability.

Split-half r
Year over year r
Stabilization point
· — where the number becomes half signal
Players

Validity.

Not measured yet: .

Uncertainty.

Not measured yet: .

Shrinkage.

applies
method
constant
constantUnit
playersFit
trueSd
noiseSd
players

Bias ledger.

Slices tested
Survive FDR

Sensitivity.

Depends on. expected goals (trained 2023-24, 2024-25, tested 2025-26, AUC ) · model card

Limits. Not yet rink-adjusted; goalies play half their games in one building.

Signed by Chief of measures (data desk); weekly card review; full assay each season; last assay 2026-10-18; test record.

All measures