Schedule strength

Definition. Opponent rating, rest, travel, back-to-backs and expected points per game and per club.

Inputs. schedule (measured), champion (derived). Built from. The league schedule and the champion model's ratings.

Constants. composite weights = convention (opponents, rest, travel, back-to-backs ranked and summed) (where this number comes from) (only rest and back-to-backs carried predictive weight in the game model; the composite is descriptive (where this number comes from)).

Reliability.

Not measured yet: not among the measured reliabilities (where this number comes from).

Validity.

Not measured yet: no next-season outcome is defined for this measure yet (where this number comes from).

Uncertainty.

Not measured yet: no bootstrap intervals for this measure (bands exist for Drive, its offence and defence splits, and RAPM) (where this number comes from).

Shrinkage.

shown raw; shrinkage is for rates whose sampling variance dominates (where this number comes from)

Bias ledger.

Not measured yet: not among the audited measures (where this number comes from).

Sensitivity.

Not measured yet: sensitivity sweep not run for this measure yet (where this number comes from).

Limits. Descriptive index; expected points come from the champion, not from the composite.

Signed by Chief of measures (data desk); weekly card review; full assay each season; last assay 2026-10-18; test record.