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Reference NHL partagee 2026-10-1832 clubs / 786 joueurs listes

Une reference. Chaque montant garde son sens.

Reference examinee. Effectifs observes, pas une formation officielle. Les montants du registre anterieur restent visibles et non reverifies. Les scenarios restent hypothetiques.

20261018-typed-r6b / 38 preuves examinees / 138 dossiers avec decision

AAV / saison documentee170selon les sources
Impact annuel rapporte5mesure distincte
Comparaisons AAV159pas une marge salariale
Charge actuelle validee0aucune charge presumee
Versions et empreintes des sources

Manifest 5f9ea2bb6b7ee2c46474eb838a5b8d885382bc73bbd3cf59f0755e8adc59b445
Projection f64c03ab93bb2c7f985b3451f31b9a747267ec9a65d9b03814fd102d2c8651fd
Policy 90bcedbfb8faccc05667d81b503b59825cbaad4eee709ff18a053aa1f5bb4e1b
Roster 4bd8b431808e8da074c97db2eb9f34b4016483d317760335321c2dc4c0af8fc5
Contracts e872d0204c77565d9886de94dd42ff4897a5dc090fbe406ff6f57d125bc17fd2

4 colonnes sur 10 affichées · ouvrez une rangée pour voir les 6 autres
Colonnes
JoueurClubAAV comparableEtat des preuvesDétails
Morgan Geekie / NHL 8479987BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
James Hagens / NHL 8485395BOSNon qualifieamount qualified expiry held
ELCslide/currentexpiry unresolved; no lastSeason derivation from signing alone
Reported AAV period unresolved; excluded from current-season comparison.
Tanner Jeannot / NHL 8479661BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Mark Kastelic / NHL 8480355BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Marat Khusnutdinov / NHL 8482177BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Sean Kuraly / NHL 8476374BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Elias Lindholm / NHL 8477496BOS7 750 000 $independently reviewed qualified comparison
Fraser Minten / NHL 8483489BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Casey Mittelstadt / NHL 8479999BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
David Pastrnak / NHL 8477956BOS11 250 000 $independently reviewed qualified comparison
JJ Peterka / NHL 8482175BOS7 700 000 $independently reviewed qualified comparison
Matthew Poitras / NHL 8483505BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Pavel Zacha / NHL 8478401BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Jonathan Aspirot / NHL 8481219BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Will Borgen / NHL 8478840BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Frederic Brunet / NHL 8483017BOSNon qualifiequalified separate cap hit only
No gross AAV assertion; not eligible for grossAav arithmetic
Type varies by season:2026 two-way;2027 one-way
Connor Clifton / NHL 8477365BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Hampus Lindholm / NHL 8476854BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Mason Lohrei / NHL 8482511BOSNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Charlie McAvoy / NHL 8479325BOS9 500 000 $independently reviewed qualified comparison
Nikita Zadorov / NHL 8477507BOS5 000 000 $independently reviewed qualified comparison
Michael DiPietro / NHL 8480022BOSNon qualifiequalified for successor
Original reported AAV below current salary minimum; adjusted charge not derived.
Jeremy Swayman / NHL 8480280BOS8 250 000 $independently reviewed qualified comparison
Zach Benson / NHL 8484145BUF7 500 000 $independently reviewed qualified comparison
Sam Carrick / NHL 8475842BUFNon qualifielegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.

AAV, impact annuel, salaire et valeur totale restent distincts. Une comparaison ne certifie ni charge d'equipe, ni clauses, ni admissibilite.

Version anglaise · Glossaire du hockey

CapOrCup measure · 2025–26

Isolated impact (RAPM)

Expected goals per 60 minutes he adds (creating plus preventing) after separating him from linemates, opponents, score and zone. 0 is an average NHL regular.

Joueurs classés
678
Sûrs d'être dans le top 10
0
Mesuré jusqu'au
2026-10-18
Les cinq premiers, en mots

À quel point nous en sommes sûrs, simplement

Chaque ligne est sa fourchette de rang à 80 %, tirée de 1 000 rééchantillonnages. Les points sont vingt résultats également probables pour sa valeur; le bouton de citation donne une phrase que la fourchette appuie.

  1. Brandon Hagel#1#1 to #53 of 678

    Probablement parmi les 10 meilleurs patineurs ; n'importe où du 1er au 53e rang.

    Dans 59 saisons sur 100 comme celle-ci, il termine parmi les dix premiers.

    0,000,200,400,600,80
    20 of 20 dots sit above zéro (le régulier moyen). Each dot is one equally likely outcome (1 in 20).
  2. Moritz Seider#2#1 to #50 of 678

    Probablement parmi les 10 meilleurs patineurs ; n'importe où du 1er au 50e rang.

    Dans 53 saisons sur 100 comme celle-ci, il termine parmi les dix premiers.

    0,000,200,400,60
    20 of 20 dots sit above zéro (le régulier moyen). Each dot is one equally likely outcome (1 in 20).
  3. Jordan Kyrou#3#1 to #70 of 678

    Probablement parmi les 10 meilleurs patineurs ; n'importe où du 1er au 70e rang.

    Dans 51 saisons sur 100 comme celle-ci, il termine parmi les dix premiers.

    0,000,200,400,60
    20 of 20 dots sit above zéro (le régulier moyen). Each dot is one equally likely outcome (1 in 20).
  4. Sam Malinski#4#3 to #90 of 678

    Probablement parmi les 20 meilleurs patineurs ; n'importe où du 3e au 90e rang.

    Dans 36 saisons sur 100 comme celle-ci, il termine parmi les dix premiers.

    0,000,200,400,60
    20 of 20 dots sit above zéro (le régulier moyen). Each dot is one equally likely outcome (1 in 20).
  5. Jordan Spence#5#3 to #93 of 678

    Probablement parmi les 20 meilleurs patineurs ; n'importe où du 3e au 93e rang.

    Dans 34 saisons sur 100 comme celle-ci, il termine parmi les dix premiers.

    0,000,200,400,60
    20 of 20 dots sit above zéro (le régulier moyen). Each dot is one equally likely outcome (1 in 20).
Top 50 of 678

Qui mène, et à quel point nous en sommes sûrs

Chaque joueur affiche sa valeur et sa fourchette de rang à 80 % : du 10e au 90e centile de son rang quand la valeur de chaque joueur est retirée 1 000 fois de sa propre fourchette. Une fourchette large signifie que la saison ne l'a pas encore distingué des joueurs qui l'entourent.

5 colonnes sur 6 affichées · ouvrez une rangée pour voir les 1 autres
Colonnes
RangJoueurIsolated impact (RAPM) xG/60Rang possible80% bandDétails
#1Brandon Hagel Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 1 to 53 of 678Brandon Hagel+0,47#1 to #53 of 678+0,29 to +0,65
#2Moritz Seider Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 1 to 50 of 678Moritz Seider+0,46#1 to #50 of 678+0,29 to +0,63
#3Jordan Kyrou Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 1 to 70 of 678Jordan Kyrou+0,44#1 to #70 of 678+0,27 to +0,62
#4Sam Malinski Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 3 to 90 of 678Sam Malinski+0,40#3 to #90 of 678+0,23 to +0,57
#5Jordan Spence Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 3 to 93 of 678Jordan Spence+0,39#3 to #93 of 678+0,22 to +0,56
#6Adam Fox Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 3 to 132 of 678Adam Fox+0,37#3 to #132 of 678+0,19 to +0,55
#7Luke Evangelista Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 4 to 117 of 678Luke Evangelista+0,37#4 to #117 of 678+0,20 to +0,54
#8Lane Hutson Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 4 to 121 of 678Lane Hutson+0,36#4 to #121 of 678+0,20 to +0,52
#9Nathan MacKinnon Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 4 to 141 of 678Nathan MacKinnon+0,35#4 to #141 of 678+0,17 to +0,53
#10Tom Wilson Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 5 to 145 of 678Tom Wilson+0,35#5 to #145 of 678+0,17 to +0,53
#11Brady Tkachuk Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 5 to 156 of 678Brady Tkachuk+0,34#5 to #156 of 678+0,15 to +0,52
#12Mattias Ekholm Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 6 to 153 of 678Mattias Ekholm+0,33#6 to #153 of 678+0,15 to +0,51
#13Damon Severson Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 6 to 139 of 678Damon Severson+0,33#6 to #139 of 678+0,17 to +0,50
#14Adam Pelech Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 7 to 153 of 678Adam Pelech+0,32#7 to #153 of 678+0,15 to +0,49
#15Tommy Novak Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 6 to 164 of 678Tommy Novak+0,32#6 to #164 of 678+0,14 to +0,49
#16Connor McDavid Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 6 to 174 of 678Connor McDavid+0,31#6 to #174 of 678+0,14 to +0,49
#17Jason Robertson Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 7 to 173 of 678Jason Robertson+0,31#7 to #173 of 678+0,14 to +0,49
#18Dylan Cozens Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 7 to 176 of 678Dylan Cozens+0,31#7 to #176 of 678+0,13 to +0,48
#19Evan Bouchard Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 9 to 190 of 678Evan Bouchard+0,29#9 to #190 of 678+0,11 to +0,47
#20Brock Nelson Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 9 to 208 of 678Brock Nelson+0,29#9 to #208 of 678+0,11 to +0,47
#21Zach Werenski Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 12 to 208 of 678Zach Werenski+0,28#12 to #208 of 678+0,12 to +0,44
#22Robert Thomas Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 10 to 224 of 678Robert Thomas+0,28#10 to #224 of 678+0,10 to +0,46
#23Hendrix Lapierre Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 8 to 233 of 678Hendrix Lapierre+0,28#8 to #233 of 678+0,09 to +0,46
#24Arseny Gritsyuk Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 10 to 225 of 678Arseny Gritsyuk+0,28#10 to #225 of 678+0,10 to +0,45
#25Devon Toews Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 9 to 197 of 678Devon Toews+0,27#9 to #197 of 678+0,10 to +0,45
#26Logan Stankoven Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 10 to 255 of 678Logan Stankoven+0,26#10 to #255 of 678+0,08 to +0,44
#27Drew Doughty Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 13 to 233 of 678Drew Doughty+0,25#13 to #233 of 678+0,08 to +0,43
#28Pontus Holmberg Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 13 to 258 of 678Pontus Holmberg+0,25#13 to #258 of 678+0,07 to +0,44
#29Quinn Hughes Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 15 to 216 of 678Quinn Hughes+0,25#15 to #216 of 678+0,09 to +0,41
#30Jack Eichel Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 11 to 267 of 678Jack Eichel+0,25#11 to #267 of 678+0,07 to +0,43
#31Michael Carcone Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 16 to 239 of 678Michael Carcone+0,25#16 to #239 of 678+0,07 to +0,42
#32Rasmus Dahlin Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 16 to 248 of 678Rasmus Dahlin+0,24#16 to #248 of 678+0,08 to +0,41
#33Blake Coleman Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 13 to 256 of 678Blake Coleman+0,24#13 to #256 of 678+0,06 to +0,43
#34Nikita Kucherov Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 16 to 251 of 678Nikita Kucherov+0,24#16 to #251 of 678+0,07 to +0,42
#35Ross Colton Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 15 to 279 of 678Ross Colton+0,24#15 to #279 of 678+0,06 to +0,42
#36Matthew Schaefer Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 16 to 235 of 678Matthew Schaefer+0,23#16 to #235 of 678+0,07 to +0,40
#37Danton Heinen Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 14 to 281 of 678Danton Heinen+0,23#14 to #281 of 678+0,04 to +0,42
#38Barrett Hayton Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 15 to 259 of 678Barrett Hayton+0,23#15 to #259 of 678+0,06 to +0,41
#39Claude Giroux Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 16 to 267 of 678Claude Giroux+0,23#16 to #267 of 678+0,05 to +0,41
#40Jaccob Slavin Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 15 to 289 of 678Jaccob Slavin+0,23#15 to #289 of 678+0,04 to +0,41
#41Connor Clifton Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 16 to 293 of 678Connor Clifton+0,22#16 to #293 of 678+0,04 to +0,40
#42Mark Jankowski Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 17 to 298 of 678Mark Jankowski+0,22#17 to #298 of 678+0,03 to +0,41
#43Josh Doan Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 22 to 290 of 678Josh Doan+0,22#22 to #290 of 678+0,04 to +0,39
#44Trevor Zegras Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 20 to 294 of 678Trevor Zegras+0,22#20 to #294 of 678+0,04 to +0,39
#45Mavrik Bourque Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 24 to 272 of 678Mavrik Bourque+0,21#24 to #272 of 678+0,04 to +0,39
#46Nikolaj Ehlers Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 21 to 306 of 678Nikolaj Ehlers+0,21#21 to #306 of 678+0,04 to +0,39
#47K'Andre Miller Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 18 to 284 of 678K'Andre Miller+0,21#18 to #284 of 678+0,04 to +0,38
#48Gage Goncalves Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 21 to 321 of 678Gage Goncalves+0,21#21 to #321 of 678+0,03 to +0,39
#49Nate Schmidt Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 21 to 290 of 678Nate Schmidt+0,21#21 to #290 of 678+0,04 to +0,38
#50Clayton Keller Isolated impact (RAPM) rank: 80% rank range 21 to 320 of 678Clayton Keller+0,21#21 to #320 of 678+0,03 to +0,39
Tous les joueurs classés

La dispersion

Each dot is one player with at least 300 minutes at 5-on-5. The dashed line is zero, the average regular.

-0.40-0.200.000.200.40
Isolated impact (RAPM) across 678 players
xG per 60, isolated

Isolated impact (RAPM)

Definition. Each player's own contribution to chances for and against, with every teammate, every opponent, score state, venue and zone start held as columns of one ridge regression over every 5-on-5 stint.

Inputs. shifts (measured), shots (measured), xg-model (derived). Built from. 5-on-5 stints built from the shift charts; the expected-goals model; ridge regression with the penalty chosen by cross-validation.

Constants. ridge penalty = ().

Reliability.

Split-half r
Year over year r
Stabilization point
· — where the number becomes half signal
Players

Validity.

pairs
n
nextSeason
discriminant
baselines
verdict

Uncertainty.

method
resamples
players
regulars
medianWidth95
medianWidth80
leagueSpreadSd
topTenProbabilityAvailable
note

Shrinkage.

Bias ledger.

Not measured yet: .

Sensitivity.

Not measured yet: .

Depends on. expected goals (trained 2023-24, 2024-25, tested 2025-26, AUC ) · model card

Limits. Players who always share the ice cannot be told apart by any regression; the penalty pulls them toward each other.

Signed by Chief of measures (data desk); weekly card review; full assay each season; last assay 2026-10-18; test record.

All measures