Final (SO) · All games
TBL 3 – 2 FLA
Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers. Final. The model's pre-game price is kept below as recorded.
- Model
- TBL 58%
- Expected score
- 3.3 – 2.8
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Amerant Bank Arena
Pre-game price
What the model says
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
Starters · depth chart 2026-09-28
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jacob Markstrom
Projected lineups · Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts · as of 2026-09-28
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Tampa Bay Lightning
L1 Ilya Mikheyev (above the league middle) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league)
L2 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Anthony Cirelli (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle)
L3 Pontus Holmberg (below the league middle) · Zemgus Girgensons (below the league middle) · Jeffrey Viel (bottom tenth of the league)
D1 J.J. Moser (above the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
D2 Victor Hedman (below the league middle) · Max Crozier (below the league middle)
PP1 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
Florida Panthers
L1 Brady Tkachuk (bottom tenth of the league) · Aleksander Barkov · Sam Reinhart (below the league middle)
L2 Carter Verhaeghe (above the league middle) · Sam Bennett (above the league middle) · Matthew Tkachuk (below the league middle)
L3 Eetu Luostarinen (below the league middle) · Anton Lundell (above the league middle) · Sandis Vilmanis
D1 Gustav Forsling (below the league middle) · Aaron Ekblad (below the league middle)
D2 Niko Mikkola (below the league middle) · Seth Jones (above the league middle)
PP1 Brady Tkachuk (bottom tenth of the league) · Aleksander Barkov · Sam Reinhart (below the league middle) · Aaron Ekblad (below the league middle) · Matthew Tkachuk (below the league middle)
Injury listings · as of 2026-09-29
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Dominic James (C): Out (hand), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-10-13
Yanni Gourde (C): Out (hip), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-12-02
Florida Panthers
Brad Marchand (LW): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-08-15, expected back 2026-10-10
Goals · the league's own clips
5 goals
Each goal links to the league's clip on its own site. Nothing is rehosted.
TBL · P1 08:50 · L. Mercuri (N. Abruzzese, J. Viel) · clip
FLA · P1 17:58 · S. Vilmanis (K. Schwindt) · clip
FLA · P2 02:03 · M. Shuravin (G. Sawchyn, M. Hovorka) · clip
TBL · P3 12:58 · B. Rautiainen (G. Goncalves, C. Geekie) · PP · clip
TBL · P5 00:00 · B. Rautiainen · clip
Replay review once the condensed game has been read · Ledger