TBL at MIN
Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Grand Casino Arena
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
1 night off · 2100 km since the last game, 1 time zone · rest advantage
second of a back-to-back · rest disadvantage
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jesper Wallstedt
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Tampa Bay Lightning
L1 Gage Goncalves (above the league middle) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league)
L2 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Anthony Cirelli (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle)
L3 Ilya Mikheyev (above the league middle) · Zemgus Girgensons (below the league middle) · Pontus Holmberg (below the league middle)
D1 J.J. Moser (above the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
D2 Ryan McDonagh (above the league middle) · Erik Cernak (above the league middle)
PP1 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
Minnesota Wild
L1 Kirill Kaprizov (top tenth of the league) · Joel Eriksson Ek (below the league middle) · Matt Boldy (top tenth of the league)
L2 Blake Coleman (below the league middle) · Ryan Hartman (above the league middle) · Maxim Shabanov (below the league middle)
L3 Marcus Foligno (above the league middle) · Danila Yurov (above the league middle) · Bobby Brink (below the league middle)
D1 Quinn Hughes (bottom tenth of the league) · Jared Spurgeon (above the league middle)
D2 Zach Bogosian · Jonas Brodin (above the league middle)
PP1 Maxim Shabanov (below the league middle) · Joel Eriksson Ek (below the league middle) · Kirill Kaprizov (top tenth of the league) · Quinn Hughes (bottom tenth of the league) · Matt Boldy (top tenth of the league)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Yanni Gourde (C): Out (hip), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-12-02
Minnesota Wild
Jared Spurgeon (D): Day To Day (upper-body), listed since 2026-10-13, expected back 2026-10-17
Kirill Kaprizov (LW): Day To Day (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-16, expected back 2026-10-18
Brock Faber (D): Out (skull), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-11-03
Filip Gustavsson (G): Out (hip), listed since 2026-09-04, expected back 2026-11-01
Marcus Foligno (LW): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-10, expected back 2026-10-20
Nick Foligno (LW): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-06, expected back 2026-10-18
Nico Sturm (C): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-12, expected back 2026-10-20
Olli Maatta (D): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-15, expected back 2026-10-18
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.