COL at TOR
Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Scotiabank Arena
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
2 nights off · 2200 km since the last game, 2 time zones
1 night off · third game in four nights
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Mackenzie Blackwood
Anthony Stolarz
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Colorado Avalanche
L1 Artturi Lehkonen (below the league middle) · Nathan MacKinnon (above the league middle) · Nazem Kadri (bottom tenth of the league)
L2 Gabriel Landeskog (below the league middle) · Brock Nelson (above the league middle) · Martin Necas (top tenth of the league)
L3 Jaden Schwartz (above the league middle) · Fedor Svechkov (below the league middle) · T.J. Hughes
D1 Devon Toews (below the league middle) · Cale Makar (above the league middle)
D2 Brett Kulak (below the league middle) · Noah Juulsen
PP1 T.J. Hughes · Nazem Kadri (bottom tenth of the league) · Nathan MacKinnon (above the league middle) · Martin Necas (top tenth of the league) · Cale Makar (above the league middle)
Toronto Maple Leafs
L1 Kirill Marchenko (above the league middle) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle) · Jack Roslovic (above the league middle)
L2 Easton Cowan (above the league middle) · Nick Paul (below the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league)
L3 Gavin McKenna · Colton Sissons (below the league middle) · Bo Groulx
D1 Jake McCabe (above the league middle) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league)
D2 Morgan Rielly (above the league middle) · Chris Tanev
PP1 Kirill Marchenko (above the league middle) · Easton Cowan (above the league middle) · William Nylander (top tenth of the league) · Darren Raddysh (top tenth of the league) · Auston Matthews (below the league middle)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Colorado Avalanche
Georgii Merkulov (C): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-28
Logan O'Connor (RW): Out (lower-body), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-25
Nicolas Roy (C): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-14, expected back 2026-10-23
Zachary L'Heureux (LW): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-13, expected back 2026-10-23
Toronto Maple Leafs
Cade Webber (D): Out (elbow), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-31
Chris Tanev (D): Out (upper body), listed since 2026-10-10, expected back 2026-10-22
Dakota Joshua (C): Out (abdomen), listed since 2026-09-28, expected back 2026-10-24
Elvis Merzlikins (G): Out (shoulder), listed since 2026-08-20, expected back 2027-03-30
John Tavares (C): Out (lower body), listed since 2026-10-15, expected back 2026-10-31
Max Domi (C): Out (back), listed since 2026-09-11, expected back 2026-11-21
Miles Wood (LW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-15, expected back 2026-10-22
William Villeneuve (D): Out (knee), listed since 2026-09-29, expected back 2026-10-31
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.