TBL at CGY
Tampa Bay Lightning at Calgary Flames. Preview from the model, the licensed feeds and last season's measures. Nothing here is a betting recommendation.
- Model now
- Expected score
- Market
- —
- Venue
- Scotiabank Saddledome
What the model says now
Lineups not yet published: each club's usual lineup assumed. Starting goalie not confirmed: goaltending held at league average. This estimate moves until the ledger freezes it before puck drop.
Source: CapOrCup game model (derived from club ratings, rest and starters)
What the schedule did to each side
Nights off, back-to-backs, third games in four nights, road-trip position and travel since the last game, from the statistical schedule. Shown as facts; rest is in the price, travel is not.
1 night off · game 3 of a road trip
1 night off
In goal
The league names no starter before puck drop. First on each club's depth chart, from the licensed feed, is the expected starter.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Dustin Wolf
Expected lines
What each club intends per the feed's depth chart, with each forward's shooter rating (Elo, against the goalies faced last season). A listing is the club's statement, not a game sheet.
Tampa Bay Lightning
L1 Gage Goncalves (above the league middle) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league)
L2 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Anthony Cirelli (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle)
L3 Ilya Mikheyev (above the league middle) · Zemgus Girgensons (below the league middle) · Pontus Holmberg (below the league middle)
D1 J.J. Moser (above the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
D2 Ryan McDonagh (above the league middle) · Erik Cernak (above the league middle)
PP1 Brandon Hagel (above the league middle) · Jake Guentzel (above the league middle) · Nikita Kucherov (top tenth of the league) · Brayden Point (below the league middle) · John Carlson (above the league middle)
Calgary Flames
L1 Aydar Suniev · Morgan Frost (above the league middle) · Matt Coronato (bottom tenth of the league)
L2 Matvei Gridin (below the league middle) · Ryan Strome (above the league middle) · Maxim Tsyplakov (below the league middle)
L3 Yegor Sharangovich (below the league middle) · Mikael Backlund (below the league middle) · Joel Farabee (above the league middle)
D1 Kevin Bahl (above the league middle) · Simon Nemec (above the league middle)
D2 Yan Kuznetsov (above the league middle) · Zach Whitecloud (below the league middle)
PP1 Joel Farabee (above the league middle) · Morgan Frost (above the league middle) · Matt Coronato (bottom tenth of the league) · Matvei Gridin (below the league middle) · Zayne Parekh (above the league middle)
Who the clubs list as out
Club-announced listings relayed by the licensed feed. No cause is inferred; Day To Day players are shown but not counted as out.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Yanni Gourde (C): Out (hip), listed since 2026-09-16, expected back 2026-12-02
Calgary Flames
Jonathan Huberdeau (LW): Out (hip), listed since 2026-02-05, expected back 2026-11-02
Samuel Honzek (LW): Out (undisclosed), listed since 2026-10-10, expected back 2026-10-22
Who has the whistle
Named by the league, usually near puck drop. Each referee's record is from last season's play-by-play penalties; ranks are distance from league norms.