CAP/CUP
Teams

Atlantic

BOSBoston BruinsBUFBuffalo SabresDETDetroit Red WingsFLAFlorida PanthersMTLMontréal CanadiensOTTOttawa SenatorsTBLTampa Bay LightningTORToronto Maple Leafs

Metropolitan

CARCarolina HurricanesCBJColumbus Blue JacketsNJDNew Jersey DevilsNYINew York IslandersNYRNew York RangersPHIPhiladelphia FlyersPITPittsburgh PenguinsWSHWashington Capitals

Central

CHIChicago BlackhawksCOLColorado AvalancheDALDallas StarsMINMinnesota WildNSHNashville PredatorsSTLSt. Louis BluesUTAUtah MammothWPGWinnipeg Jets

Pacific

ANAAnaheim DucksCGYCalgary FlamesEDMEdmonton OilersLAKLos Angeles KingsSJSSan Jose SharksSEASeattle KrakenVANVancouver CanucksVGKVegas Golden Knights
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Table-specific density choices remain available in each table.
ResearchStart with a team or player
Shared NHL reference 2026-10-1832 clubs / 786 listed players

One reference. Every amount keeps its meaning.

Reviewed reference. Observed rosters, not confirmed game lineups. Older ledger amounts remain visible and unreverified. Scenarios stay hypothetical.

20261018-typed-r6b / 38 staged assertions reviewed / 138 held records given a disposition

Reported AAV for this season170source-qualified references
Reported annual cap hit5kept separate from AAV
AAV comparison eligible159does not establish cap room
Current club charge qualified0adjustments remain unqualified
Release and source fingerprints

Manifest 5f9ea2bb6b7ee2c46474eb838a5b8d885382bc73bbd3cf59f0755e8adc59b445
Projection f64c03ab93bb2c7f985b3451f31b9a747267ec9a65d9b03814fd102d2c8651fd
Policy 90bcedbfb8faccc05667d81b503b59825cbaad4eee709ff18a053aa1f5bb4e1b
Roster 4bd8b431808e8da074c97db2eb9f34b4016483d317760335321c2dc4c0af8fc5
Contracts e872d0204c77565d9886de94dd42ff4897a5dc090fbe406ff6f57d125bc17fd2

4 of 10 columns shown · open a row for the other 6
Columns
PlayerClubComparison AAVEvidence statusDetails
Morgan Geekie / NHL 8479987BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
James Hagens / NHL 8485395BOSUnqualifiedamount qualified expiry held
ELCslide/currentexpiry unresolved; no lastSeason derivation from signing alone
Reported AAV period unresolved; excluded from current-season comparison.
Tanner Jeannot / NHL 8479661BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Mark Kastelic / NHL 8480355BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Marat Khusnutdinov / NHL 8482177BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Sean Kuraly / NHL 8476374BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Elias Lindholm / NHL 8477496BOSUS$7,750,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Fraser Minten / NHL 8483489BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Casey Mittelstadt / NHL 8479999BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
David Pastrnak / NHL 8477956BOSUS$11,250,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
JJ Peterka / NHL 8482175BOSUS$7,700,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Matthew Poitras / NHL 8483505BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Pavel Zacha / NHL 8478401BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Jonathan Aspirot / NHL 8481219BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Will Borgen / NHL 8478840BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Frederic Brunet / NHL 8483017BOSUnqualifiedqualified separate cap hit only
No gross AAV assertion; not eligible for grossAav arithmetic
Type varies by season:2026 two-way;2027 one-way
Connor Clifton / NHL 8477365BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Hampus Lindholm / NHL 8476854BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Mason Lohrei / NHL 8482511BOSUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.
Charlie McAvoy / NHL 8479325BOSUS$9,500,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Nikita Zadorov / NHL 8477507BOSUS$5,000,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Michael DiPietro / NHL 8480022BOSUnqualifiedqualified for successor
Original reported AAV below current salary minimum; adjusted charge not derived.
Jeremy Swayman / NHL 8480280BOSUS$8,250,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Zach Benson / NHL 8484145BUFUS$7,500,000independently reviewed qualified comparison
Sam Carrick / NHL 8475842BUFUnqualifiedlegacy not reverified
Legacy evidence not independently reverified in this release.

AAV, annual cap hit, salary and contract total stay separate. Source claims remain visible even when a conflicting amount is held. AAV comparison does not certify current team charges, clauses or eligibility.

CapOrCup measure · 2025–26

Advanced goals, assists, plus/minus

Goals and assists weighted by the win probability each added; plus/minus credited to everyone on the ice at the goal or at the start of its sequence.

Win probability

What a lead is worth, from last season's games

The home club's chance of winning by score difference and minutes left: the table every goal is weighed against.

Down 1, 20 min lefthome club wins
Down 1, 5 min lefthome club wins
Down 1, 2 min lefthome club wins
Tied, 20 min lefthome club wins
Tied, 5 min lefthome club wins
Tied, 2 min lefthome club wins
Up 1, 20 min lefthome club wins
Up 1, 5 min lefthome club wins
Up 1, 2 min lefthome club wins
Advanced scoring

Advanced goals

Cole Caufield (MTL)
Steven Stamkos (NSH)
Alex DeBrincat (DET)
Nathan MacKinnon (COL)
Kirill Kaprizov (MIN)
Dylan Guenther (UTA)
Morgan Geekie (BOS)
Cutter Gauthier (ANA)
Adrian Kempe (LAK)
Jason Robertson (DAL)
Advanced scoring

Advanced primary assists

David Pastrnak (BOS)
Connor McDavid (EDM)
Macklin Celebrini (SJS)
Nick Suzuki (MTL)
Nikita Kucherov (TBL)
Mark Scheifele (WPG)
Sebastian Aho (CAR)
Nathan MacKinnon (COL)
Mitch Marner (VGK)
Mathew Barzal (NYI)
Advanced scoring

Advanced plus/minus

Lane Hutson (MTL)
Cole Caufield (MTL)
Nick Suzuki (MTL)
Nathan MacKinnon (COL)
Martin Necas (COL)
Jason Robertson (DAL)
Nikita Kucherov (TBL)
Leon Draisaitl (EDM)
Evan Bouchard (EDM)
Moritz Seider (DET)
win probability added, scaled to 1.0 per average goal

Advanced goals, assists, plus/minus

Definition. Goals and assists weighted by the win probability each added; plus/minus credited to everyone on the ice at the goal or at the start of its sequence.

Inputs. goals (measured), events (measured), shifts (measured). Built from. Goal record, a win-probability table by score and time, play-by-play, shift charts.

Reliability.

Not measured yet: .

Validity.

Not measured yet: .

Uncertainty.

Not measured yet: .

Shrinkage.

Bias ledger.

Not measured yet: .

Sensitivity.

Limits. Win probability uses score and time only; clutch repeats weakly year to year.

Signed by Chief of measures (data desk); weekly card review; full assay each season; last assay 2026-10-18; test record.

All measures