Not on file (Skater measure, not applicable to goalies)
Retained artifact identity
SHA-256 hashes verify the artifact bytes used here. They do not validate the executed recipe, historical inputs, a shared event cohort, or model quality.
Cached recipe inspection: the ranking applies a retrospective adjustment to the season’s scoring; the matchup sidecar uses published coefficients without that adjustment. The executed recipe and historical inputs are not attested.
Source filters, context and adjustments differ. Matching counts do not establish matching events. These estimates are not interchangeable; neither is an official measure of talent.
Two distinct GSAx estimates; open Sources & limits before comparing them.
Save percentage2025–26 regular seasonGSAx · matchup samplegoals · model estimateWorkload · minutes44 gamesVideo coveragedenominator not verified
Video & evidence
FLA @ CAR
NHL videoHome radio · not connectedAway radio · not connected
2026–27 · Preseason · Condensed-game sample, not full coverage. Timestamps are video time, not the game clock. Existing model reading, unverified.
Cross-game review
Every reading, in context
Indexed readings, not saves or unique plays.
Condensed-video samples. Declared video timestamps, not game clocks or full coverage. Negative or unknown attribution does not become a verified observation.
Rates calculated from NHL totals; ice time in seconds. Reported precision tolerance: one unit at the fifth decimal place. Arithmetic agreement is not independent verification. No shot-quality adjustment or validated talent interval.
Source ice time : 152,641 s · Displayed minutes rounded to two decimals; rates use source seconds.
How much of the scoring comes at five-on-five, on special teams, or into an empty net?
Is the player creating the play, finishing it, or receiving a secondary point?
Retained attention · declared date 2026-10-20
Jacob Markstrom: retained score 76; comparison population unverified; declared article-view ratio 1.61×
Retained declarations only. Sampling, language and population coverage, name matching, missing-input treatment, original reporting window and use permission are unverified. Scores and ranks are not validated comparisons; no effect on play is established.
Declared scoreDeclared rank 311; population unverifiedStories, 7-day field30-day field: 2Declared article viewsDeclared baseline 101; ratio 1.61Posts, 7-day fieldBlueskyDeclared engagementA missing value is not zero.
Reported move field: 0; injury-listing flag: false. No current state inferred.
Share of the capof the upper limitTrade protectionNot confirmedNo source states a clause either wayContract typeOne-waySigned extensionNone on fileNext deal not yet signedSourceNHL.com A club or NHL announcement states this cap hit and term.
Measures · 2025–26 · simulated 80% rank ranges
Where Jacob Markstrom sits in the ranking simulation
These ranges summarize 1,000 simulated rankings, treating players independently and scaling normal draws separately below and above each stored estimate. Shared errors between players are not modeled, and no extra allowance for source or model uncertainty is added here. The middle 80% is a simulation result, not demonstrated coverage of a true or future rank.
Range not available (not in this measure's ranked field: too few 5v5 minutes, or no band on file)
CapOrCup measures · 2025-26
What happens while he plays
Measured from the league's play-by-play and shift charts, not from the scoresheet. Expected goals are counted for every player on the ice, and a goal is credited to whoever was on the ice when the sequence began, including players who had changed off before it was scored.
Share of chance quality
Goal archive ·
Every goal, with the league's video
Preseason, regular season and playoffs are kept apart. Each row links to the NHL's own highlight page; no video is hosted here. Where a clip has been reviewed, the reading of it is a model judgement of the frames, not a measurement.
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Career arc ·
Jacob Markstrom, season by season
Each dot is one season. The amber bar is what his earlier seasons and his age predicted for that season (), so a dot far above its bar is a season the numbers did not see coming. The shaded band is where most players at his position sit at each age.
Seasons on file2010-11 to 2026-27Best seasonLatest seasonexpected Measured labelsnone that passed its test
Comparables
Not enough career on file yet
A comparable needs at least two seasons of ten or more games on file.
Fit components (description)
Jacob Markstrom: role, system and coach, as measured
What the shift charts say about Jacob Markstrom's role and his club's game, and what the rules allow. No fit number is shown: fit: not yet validated.
Games (last 82)TOI a gameall situations, minutes5v5 minutes a game
Goalie fit (his save surface against a club's shots against) did not pass its pre-registered test, so no predicted goals saved above expected is shown for any club. The test.
Rules that travel with him: blocked. Club-specific rules (50 contracts, 23-man roster, the two front offices) are on each team's Moves tab.
Trade protection:Not on file. clause not confirmed.
Choose a second goalie from the same record.
Descriptive totals and rates from the same NHL record; no talent ranking.
SV% = saves / shots. GAA = goals × 3,600 / seconds; workload = shots or saves × 3,600 / seconds. Stored rates are displayed without a new model. Zero stays zero; missing values or zero exposure are unknown. Totals are not repaired. Arithmetic agreement is not independent verification.
Research filters do not recalculate this fixed record. Profile GSAx estimates have separate samples and models; they are neither combined nor ranked here. No validated talent interval. Video readings and commentary do not contribute to totals.
Goals, assists and plus/minus, weighted by what they changed
Every goal counts the win probability it added, scaled so the average goal is 1.0: a late tying goal counts several, a goal at 6-1 or into an empty net late counts little. Plus/minus also credits the players on the ice when the goal's sequence began.
Read from the league's free condensed games ( game so far): entries, exits, battles and turnovers the model could see and attribute to his jersey number. A condensed game is a sample of the game, so these are observations, not season counts.
saves
NHL EDGE tracking · 2025-26
Speed, shot and ice
From the NHL's own player-tracking data. Percentiles are the NHL's: the share of the league below this player.
No NHL EDGE data for this player in 2025-26 (usually fewer NHL games, or a goalie).
his seasonexpected range from his earlier seasonsposition, 10th to 90th percentile by ageposition median
Position band: .
What the numbers found
No shipped label applies. A label is a measured finding about a run of seasons (for example, a spike that came back to the old level), and it is shown only for label types that passed their test on held-out seasons.
Projection at the draft
No draft projection: projections exist for players drafted from 2005 on who have season lines on file, and goalie projections are withheld because they failed their calibration test.
Every season
save % minus league save % (percentage points). Position references use the exact recorded age; no interpolation or missing-to-zero replacement. Expected endpoints and position percentiles describe different populations.
3 of 9 columns shown · open a row for the other 6Columns
Season
Age
Level · save % minus league save % (percentage points)
Details
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
2022-23
2023-24
2024-25
2025-26
2026-27
Position reference by recorded age
The same reference band as the chart, including ages with no player season. These rows describe the position; they do not create a season or result for this player.
2 of 4 columns shown · open a row for the other 2Columns
Recorded age
50th percentile · save % minus league save % (percentage points)
Injury and lineup records are interpreted separately. Retained declarations do not verify current availability, tonight’s lineup, complete coverage or current use entitlement.
Retained injury listing · No qualified retained listing; availability unknown.
Retained lineup reference · No qualified retained slot; current lineup unknown.
Retained move reports
Retained roster move history
Matches to the retained source ID, without inferring current roster state. Coverage, canonical identity and same-day event order are unverified.
No qualified retained report, or relationship held for validation; history completeness and current state unknown.
Waiver exemption: blocked. signed at 20: past 4 seasons or 80 NHL games (now season 17, 578 games). CBA Art. 13.4
as of 2026-04-16
Tonight FLA do not play · next league date 2026-11-14 · No qualified retained listing; availability unknown. · No qualified latest retained report; roster state unknown.
