Ottawa Senators
The whole organization. One connected view.
Eastern Conference · Atlantic DivisionOpen GM workspace2026–27
Current roster2414 F · 8 D · 2 GKnown commitmentsUS$98.1M23 / 27 contracts pricedFarm system#25Thin · board consensusNext gamevs FLAOct 21
Line combinations
Provider projection · 2026-10-12
#95
#18
#19
#22
#12
#28
#71
#24
#20
#37
#34
#21
#72
#10
#43
#33
Goaltending
Linus Ullmark
#35 · OTT · 33 years- SV%
- GAA
- Games
2025–26 · NHL regular season
Shots on goal faced
1,067 saves131 goals allowed
Source & scope
NHL stats API goalie summary (aggregated across clubs), data/goalie-stats-2025-26.json · 2026-09-21T18:03:37.296Z. Current roster; statistics from the stated season, across clubs. This selection does not identify tonight’s starter. Condensed footage does not establish full video coverage.
Contract horizon
Cap & contractsKnown AAV · 2026–2723 priced deals · 4 AAV unknown
Ceiling · ConfirmedUS$104M
Known committed share94.4%
Ceiling less known AAVUS$5.9M
ForwardsDefenceGoalies
Line: season-specific ceiling. * Outlook or assumption. Balance is not certified cap room.
Cap outlook assumptions
Local to this panel; does not change the GM financial scenario ceiling.
Sources, coverage & amounts
Sum of known AAV, not a complete payroll forecast or available cap room. Relief, bonuses and other charges are excluded. The file may contain later-dated signed terms; its file stamp is not a historical as-of reconstruction.
NHL/NHLPA · 2026–27: $104M · 2026-05-06
NHL/NHLPA · 2027–28: $113.5M · 2025-01-31 · subject to adjustment
Elliotte Friedman / Sportsnet · 2028–29: $127.5M · 2026-09-25 · reported estimate, not confirmed
Beyond that, no published limit in the checked sources. Any chosen growth is a planning assumption, not a forecast. Expiring commitments do not automatically fund a complete future roster.
0 contracts with unresolved terms remain outside the bars.
- F
- 58,462,500 USD
- D
- 28,125,000 USD
- G
- 11,550,000 USD
0 priced signed extensions included this season.
Contract ledger · file stamp 2026-09-12
Prospect pathways
Prospects
Carter YakemchukD · Belleville SenatorsNHLETA —
Logan HenslerD · Univ. of WisconsinNHLETA —
Kasper HalttunenR · San Jose BarracudaNHLETA —
Context & more prospects
Farm-board notables; recorded development stage, not an arrival forecast.
Carter Yakemchuk: 54 GP · 2025–26 · 40 points
Logan Hensler: 23 GP · 2025–26 · 12 points
Kasper Halttunen: 69 GP · 2025–26 · 35 points
Selection follows the farm board's published notable order. The NHL step is a pathway, not a confirmed move. Arrival dates and current rights are not verified here.
Jonas Lagerberg Hoen
Jaxon Cover
All pathways & roster lanes →What changed
All moves- Hoyt Stanleysent to the minors
Reported event
- Jorian Donovansent to the minors
Reported event
Results, standings & source context
2026–27 regular season · current roster
Team overview
What the contracts tell us
What the contracts mean for the next moves
- 01
- 02
- 03
- 04
- 05
- 06
- 07
Next game
2026–27
Upcoming games, columns & export
| Date | Opponent | Type | Details |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs FLA | Regular season | ||
| vs SJS | Regular season | ||
| vs NYR | Regular season | ||
| at VGK | Regular season | ||
| at LAK | Regular season |
White noise · as of 2026-10-18 · social 2026-10-18
Ottawa Senators are in the middle of the pack for attention (66th percentile); attention this week is 2.09× its usual
How much the club is being talked about: the league's stories tagged to the club and to its players, daily pageviews of the club's article against its 90-day baseline, and posts naming the club on the connected networks (Bluesky). Attention, measured; not a claim about what it does to the room.
Social: .
Carrying the noise: Tim Stützle (), Linus Ullmark (), William Eklund ().
Latest from the league: Flyers hold off Senators for first win of season (2026-10-18) · Flyers hold off Senators for first win of season (2026-10-18) · Senators look to match Flyers’ desperation on Saturday night (2026-10-17)
Contract ledger · researched 2026-09-12
Ottawa Senators contracts, 2026–27 onward
Every contract CapOrCup could source, one row per player, one column per season. Certified rows match a club or NHL release. Reported rows come from a named outlet and are labelled. Contracts with no public source are listed separately, and none are estimated.
| Player | 2026–27 | 2027–28 | Details |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards · | |||
| Tim StützleCertifiedC | |||
| Shane PintoCertifiedCM-NTC | |||
| Dylan CozensCertifiedC | |||
| William EklundCertifiedL | |||
| Andre BurakovskyCertifiedL | |||
| Drake BathersonCertifiedRNMC | |||
| Fabian ZetterlundCertifiedL | |||
| Warren FoegeleCertifiedL | |||
| Ridly GreigCertifiedC | |||
| Michael AmadioCertifiedR | |||
| Claude GirouxCertifiedR | |||
| Nick CousinsCertifiedC | |||
| Kurtis MacDermidCertifiedL | |||
| Stephen HallidayCertifiedC | |||
| Defence · | |||
| Jake SandersonCertifiedDM-NTC | |||
| Thomas ChabotCertifiedD | |||
| Jordan SpenceCertifiedD | |||
| Artem ZubCertifiedD | |||
| Tyler KlevenCertifiedD | |||
| Nikolas MatinpaloCertifiedD | |||
| Matthew AndonovskiCertifiedD | |||
| Cameron CrottyCertifiedD | |||
| Carter YakemchukCertifiedD | |||
| Goalies · | |||
| Linus UllmarkCertifiedG | |||
| Samuel ErssonCertifiedG | |||
| Leevi MeriläinenCertifiedG | |||
| Sourced total | |||
| |||
Cap or Cup · league-wide signals
Who is earning the cap hit
Each priced OTT skater compared with every priced skater at the same position in the league. Open a signal for the full drill-down on the league board: the tests, the numbers, and what would change it.
Private scenario · 2026–27
Ottawa Senators cap planner
Enter figures you trust. The planner never turns missing contract data into a published total, and saves only in this browser.
Line 1
Amadio · Stützle · Batherson · Burakovsky · Pinto
Line 2
Eklund · Cozens · Greig
Line 3
Giroux · Cousins · Foegele
Line 4
Zetterlund · Halliday
Pair 1
Spence · Sanderson · Chabot
Pair 2
Zub
Pair 3
Kleven · Matinpalo
Projected lineup · as of 2026-10-12
Ottawa Senators as the feed projects it
Sportradar NHL API v7, team depth charts depth chart (licensed feed (30-day trial)): the club's intended lines, pairs, power-play units and goalie order, under Travis Green. Measured lines above come from last season's shift charts; this is what the club says it means to do. "Expected starter" is first on the chart, not a confirmed start.
Line 1 · Andre Burakovsky · Tim Stutzle · Drake Batherson
Line 2 · Michael Amadio · Shane Pinto · Claude Giroux
Line 3 · Ridly Greig · Dylan Cozens · Fabian Zetterlund
Line 4 · Warren Foegele · Stephen Halliday · Nick Cousins
Pair 1 · Thomas Chabot · Jordan Spence
Pair 2 · Tyler Kleven · Carter Yakemchuk
Pair 3 · Nikolas Matinpalo · Hoyt Stanley
Power play 1 · Andre Burakovsky · Dylan Cozens · Tim Stutzle · Drake Batherson · Thomas Chabot
Power play 2 · Ridly Greig · Shane Pinto · Claude Giroux · Fabian Zetterlund · Carter Yakemchuk
Goalies · expected starter Linus Ullmark · Samuel Ersson
Official roster
Who is in the organization now
| Player | # | Pos | Age | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards · | ||||
| Michael Amadio | 22 | R | ||
| Drake Batherson | 19 | R | ||
| Andre Burakovsky | 95 | L | ||
| Nick Cousins | 21 | C | ||
| Dylan Cozens | 24 | C | ||
| William Eklund | 27 | L | ||
| Warren Foegele | 37 | L | ||
| Claude Giroux | 28 | R | ||
| Ridly Greig | 71 | C | ||
| Stephen Halliday | 34 | C | ||
| Hayden Hodgson | 42 | R | ||
| Shane Pinto | 12 | C | ||
| Tim Stützle | 18 | C | ||
| Fabian Zetterlund | 20 | L | ||
| Defense · | ||||
| Thomas Chabot | 72 | D | ||
| Cameron Crotty | 5 | D | ||
| Tyler Kleven | 43 | D | ||
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 33 | D | ||
| Jake Sanderson | 85 | D | ||
| Jordan Spence | 10 | D | ||
| Carter Yakemchuk | 26 | D | ||
| Artem Zub | 2 | D | ||
| Goalies · | ||||
| Samuel Ersson | 30 | G | ||
| Linus Ullmark | 35 | G | ||
2025–26 production
Last season’s scoring leaders
Club totals with OTT.
| Player | GP | G | A | PTS | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1Range not available Tim StützleC | |||||
| #2Range not available Drake BathersonR | |||||
| #3Range not available Brady TkachukL | |||||
| #4Range not available Dylan CozensC | |||||
| #5Range not available Jake SandersonD | |||||
| #6Range not available Claude GirouxR | |||||
| #7Range not available Shane PintoC | |||||
| #8Range not available Michael AmadioR | |||||
| #9Range not available Ridly GreigC | |||||
| #10Range not available Fabian ZetterlundL |
Shots for
shots a game, expected per shot
Shots against
allowed a game, expected per shot
From the video · model judgement
How they gained the zone in condensed games
Read from the league's free condensed games: entries carried in against dumped in, entries denied at the line for and against, and the rest of what the model could see. A condensed game is a sample of the game, so these are observations from the games read, not season counts.
Games read: OTT at MTL (2026010022), OTT at TOR (2026010035), TOR at OTT (2026010036).
Coaching style · 2025-26
pulls the goalie early
How the bench was run, measured from the shift charts and the play-by-play (a mid-season coaching change is not separated). Each is set against the league median; style words appear only where the club is clearly away from it.
System group
Plays like Colorado Avalanche, Pittsburgh Penguins, Vegas Golden Knights, Tampa Bay Lightning, Philadelphia Flyers, St. Louis Blues, Winnipeg Jets, Dallas Stars
Four groups found by clustering every club's shot profile for and against. The group is described only by the features that set it apart from the league; no label is invented for it.
Goal archive ·
Ottawa Senators: every goal, with the league's video
Preseason, regular season and playoffs are kept apart. Each row links to the NHL's own highlight page; no video is hosted here. Where a clip has been reviewed, the reading of it is a model judgement of the frames, not a measurement.
Loading…
Assistant GM
Ottawa Senators: the front-office read
Every idea below is computed from sourced contracts, 2025–26 production, roster lanes, pick ownership and standings. Nothing is a rumour. Prices are computed guides from production and contract surplus, not market quotes.
Direction and front office
Holding
Standing pat: little trade activity.
How this GM trades: . Sunk-cost risk: unknown.
Decisions that cannot wait
Most urgent
Ranked by how soon the decision is forced: offer-sheet dates, cap compliance, deadlines and sell-offs.
Aliaksei Protas (WSH)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Kevin Fiala (LAK)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Club injury listing
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Ivan Barbashev (VGK)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Drake Batherson
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Michael Amadio
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Plan for the cap you might get
Cap outlook
Sourced commitments against the announced or projected ceiling, and against a flat cap at today's (the ceiling stayed flat in 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24). Unpriced contracts are not counted, so real room is smaller.
| Season | Committed | Ceiling | Room (projected) | Room (flat cap) | Needs growth | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026–27 | ||||||
| 2027–28 | ||||||
| 2028–29 | ||||||
| 2029–30 |
Long, expensive contracts: Tim Stützle ( through 2030–31: ); Jake Sanderson ( through 2031–32: ); Shane Pinto ( through 2029–30: ); Dylan Cozens ( through 2029–30: ); Jordan Spence ( through 2029–30: ).
Expansion: none announced
Protection slots are worth something
The NHL has not approved or announced an expansion team or expansion draft. In June 2026 it gave the Friedkin family a six-month window to explore a second Texas team in Houston or Austin (about $3.5 billion for the fee and an arena). The Board of Governors met on September 22, 2026 without announcing a decision; any expansion would still need a vote of the Board. No expansion draft is announced. Reported, not official: a Houston or Austin team could be awarded before the end of 2026 and would begin play in 2029-30, which would put its expansion draft in June 2029. The league is also reported to be talking with at least two other groups about a 34th team. Checks here apply the rules to today's rosters and contracts as a planning scenario, not a forecast. The format is not announced either: one new club per draft (a club could face a draft in consecutive years) or two clubs in the same draft (a club could lose two players at once). Under the 2021 rules a club protects 7 forwards, 3 defencemen and 1 goalie (or 8 skaters and 1 goalie). Every no-movement clause in force must be protected and uses a slot, so its real cost is the player it pushes off.
If a draft is announced: ask a no-move player to waive for the draft, trade an exposed player now rather than lose them for nothing, or make a side deal with the expansion club to steer its pick.
Where the roster is thin
Needs
A position (centre, wing, defence pair or goal) counts as a need when most of its regulars are unsigned past this season, or when they produce below the league average for that position.
Left wing
- Established
- Signed for 2027–28
- Lane 5v5 pts/60
Right wing
- Established
- Signed for 2027–28
- Lane 5v5 pts/60
Right-shot defence
- Established
- Signed for 2027–28
- Lane 5v5 pts/60
See it coming
Offer-sheet exposure
This club's own RFAs for summer 2027: what their production is worth on the open market, which compensation band an aggressive offer would fall in, and whether the club could match with the room it has committed. The 2027–28 ceiling is not set; this uses the current ceiling.
Tyler Kleven
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Comparable market salary
- Offer-sheet band
- 2027–28 room (sourced)
Players other clubs might move
Trade targets
Realistic targets, not wish lists: young players stuck behind veterans, salary a cap-strapped club has to move, rentals on selling clubs, and good contracts priced by what they are worth. Young franchise-core players and anyone with a no-move or full no-trade clause are left out.
Aliaksei Protas (WSH)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Kevin Fiala (LAK)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Club injury listing
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Ivan Barbashev (VGK)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Igor Chernyshov (SJS)
- 2025–26
- Contract
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Felix Unger Sorum (CAR)
- 2025–26
- Contract
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Latest roster move
- White noise
- Price guide
Fabian Lysell (BOS)
- 2025–26
- Contract
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- Price guide
Adam Gaudette (SJS)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Latest roster move
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Taylor Raddysh (NYR)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Latest roster move
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Nick Perbix (NSH)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Latest roster move
- Projected slot
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Nick Robertson (PIT)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Mackie Samoskevich (SEA)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Latest roster move
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Michael Carcone (UTA)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Club injury listing
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Arseny Gritsyuk (NJD)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Tony DeAngelo (NYI)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Nils Lundkvist (DAL)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Restricted free agents, summer 2027
Offer-sheet candidates
RFAs at clubs tight on cap. Compensation depends on the offer's AAV band and must be paid in the offering club's own picks; the Carlsson offer sheet in July 2026 showed how far a club will go to match.
Matias Maccelli (NYI)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Club injury listing
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Own 2027 picks held
Calum Ritchie (NYI)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Club injury listing
- Projected slot
- Own 2027 picks held
Gabe Perreault (NYR)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Own 2027 picks held
Maxim Shabanov (MIN)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Own 2027 picks held
Trades with three or more clubs
Multi-team ideas
Chains where every club receives a player in a need lane, gives up roughly what it gets, and stays under the cap. Salary retention is used at most once per contract (the 2025 MOU bars a second retention on the same contract within 75 regular-season days) and never above 50%.
ANA → DET → OTT → BOS
- ANA → DET: Rodwin Dionicio (blocked, )
Gate at DET: not confirmed. fit: not yet validated. - DET → OTT: Keegan Kolesar (salary, )
Gate at OTT: blocked (waiver exemption) (entry-level slide). fit: not yet validated. - OTT → BOS: Stephen Halliday (blocked, )
Gate at BOS: blocked (waiver exemption) (entry-level slide). fit: not yet validated. - BOS → ANA: Fabian Lysell (blocked, )
Gate at ANA: blocked (waiver exemption). fit: not yet validated.
ANA → DET → OTT → MTL
- ANA → DET: Rodwin Dionicio (blocked, )
Gate at DET: not confirmed. fit: not yet validated. - DET → OTT: Keegan Kolesar (salary, )
Gate at OTT: blocked (waiver exemption) (entry-level slide). fit: not yet validated. - OTT → MTL: Andre Burakovsky (salary, )
Gate at MTL: blocked (waiver exemption) (entry-level slide). fit: not yet validated. - MTL → ANA: Zachary Bolduc (salary, )
Gate at ANA: blocked (waiver exemption) (entry-level slide). fit: not yet validated.
ANA → DET → OTT → BOS
- ANA → DET: Rodwin Dionicio (blocked, )
Gate at DET: not confirmed. fit: not yet validated. - DET → OTT: Keegan Kolesar (salary, )
Gate at OTT: blocked (waiver exemption) (entry-level slide). fit: not yet validated. - OTT → BOS: Andre Burakovsky (salary, , OTT retains )
Gate at BOS: blocked (waiver exemption) (entry-level slide). fit: not yet validated. - BOS → ANA: Fabian Lysell (blocked, )
Gate at ANA: blocked (waiver exemption). fit: not yet validated.
ANA → DET → OTT → CGY
- ANA → DET: Rodwin Dionicio (blocked, )
Gate at DET: not confirmed. fit: not yet validated. - DET → OTT: Keegan Kolesar (salary, )
Gate at OTT: blocked (waiver exemption) (entry-level slide). fit: not yet validated. - OTT → CGY: Andre Burakovsky (salary, )
Gate at CGY: blocked (waiver exemption) (entry-level slide). fit: not yet validated. - CGY → ANA: Matt Coronato (salary, , CGY retains )
Gate at ANA: blocked (waiver exemption) (entry-level slide). fit: not yet validated.
Ideas to start from
Trade concepts
Each is priced from the player's tier and the contract's surplus over its remaining term, then cap-checked: salary in against salary out. A shape to test, not a final price.
Concept: Igor Chernyshov (SJS)
- Contract
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
- Opportunity
- Net cap change
Concept: Nick Robertson (PIT)
- Cap hit
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
- Opportunity
- Net cap change
Concept: Mackie Samoskevich (SEA)
- Cap hit
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
- Opportunity
- Net cap change
Concept: Michael Carcone (UTA)
- Cap hit
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
- Opportunity
- Net cap change
Sell while the price is high
Decisions on value contracts
Players in their prime who produce more than their cap hit suggests, with the deal ending within two seasons: the moment their trade value peaks.
Drake Batherson
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Michael Amadio
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Artem Zub
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Latest roster move
- White noise
- Contract surplus
- Price guide
Players to build around
Young players to build around
Players under 24, judged on NHL games played and five-on-five scoring rate, their prospect ranking, and what they are producing now.
William Eklund
- 2025–26
- Contract
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Latest roster move
- Club injury listing
- White noise
Carter Yakemchuk
- 2025–26
- Contract
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
Xavier Bourgault
- 2025–26
- Contract
- Age
- Latest roster move
Owen Beckner
- 2025–26
- Contract
- Age
Javon Moore
- 2025–26
- Contract
- Age
Summer 2027
Free-agent targets
Pending UFAs (26 to 32, no extension signed) in this club's need lanes. The current cap hit is shown for reference, not as an estimate of the next contract.
Jason Robertson (DAL)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
Dmitri Voronkov (CBJ)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
Alex DeBrincat (DET)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
Kirill Marchenko (CBJ)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
Alexandre Carrier (MTL)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Projected slot
- White noise
Nick Perbix (NSH)
- 2025–26
- Cap hit
- Age
- Stage
- Trend
- Role
- 3-season projection
- On-ice chance share
- Sequences started
- Availability
- Expected goals (2025–26)
- Top speed (EDGE)
- Bursts over 20 mph
- Latest roster move
- Projected slot
League context
Where the market is going
Price of production at signing: cap hit per point of pace in the season before the deal, from the sourced contract ledger. Samples depend on how many deals are priced.
The ledger holds contracts still active in 2026-27, so one- and two-year deals signed in 2024 are missing from the 2024 column. Segments with different term mixes are therefore not comparable here; the term-matched reading is the pricing study on the integrity page.
Goalies: by raw save percentage, a goalie's season after changing teams is almost unrelated to the one before (correlation across moves, vs for goalies who stayed). Adjusted for shot quality the gap disappears ( stayed vs moved): the system changes the shots a goalie faces, so judge goalies on goals saved above expected. of established-goalie trades returned a first-round pick against for productive skaters ( goalie trades: a small sample).
Largest cap hits signed in summer 2026: Leo Carlsson (), Connor Bedard (), Cutter Gauthier (), Pavel Dorofeyev (), Alex Tuch ().
Ask the Ottawa Senators assistant GM
Answers use only the ideas above, the club's contracts and trades, and the CBA, and cite each one. If the facts do not support an answer, it says so.
GM horizon
Steve Staios: 2.7 years in
How long GMs have lasted since 1967, and what that implies for a GM who has served this long. A GM who expects to be gone soon has a reason to buy today; this is the base rate, not a read on him.
Win-now premium
Ottawa Senators: what deadline rentals cost
A rental is a pending unrestricted free agent bought between January 1 and the deadline. Its price is the pick value sent, in expected career NHL games. Part of a price can be rational: a win is worth more to a club on the playoff line. This splits the price above the league mean into what the standings on the trade date explain and what they do not.
| Date | Rental | GM | Picks sent | Price | Win value | Vs mean | Not explained |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-07 | Dennis Gilbert | Steve Staios | none + 2 players (not valued) | −62 | −62 |
| GM | Rentals (league-wide) | Mean price | Not explained: mean | 25th to 75th |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Staios | 1 | Not on file (fewer than 5 rentals (1)) | ||
Win value is the rise in the club's chance of reaching the playoff line from one more win, in percentage points. Units are expected career games of the picks sent; a price in cap-share dollars needs the Worth model on rentals, which is not adopted. Not netted: the rental's quality, salary retained by the seller, and players or prospects sent. A rental's expiry is quoted from the trade's NHL.com story, or from the contract archive where the story is silent (an archive expiry can be a restricted one).
Farm-system consensus · front-office read
Carter Yakemchuk gives Ottawa a real headliner. The uncomfortable truth is that the system still lacks top-end volume, so opportunity and development decisions cannot miss.
- 01Treat first- and second-round picks as scarce replenishment assets.
- 02Create real NHL auditions for cheap players before buying depth.
- 03Do not confuse one headliner with a complete pipeline.
Draft picks · 2027–2029
Ottawa Senators picks
Every round for the next three drafts: the club's own picks, picks it has acquired, and picks it has traded away, with any conditions. "Own" means the pick was checked against the club's trades since 2023; "Own, unconfirmed" means no trade is on record but that check has not been done.
Roster moves · as of 2026-10-17
Ottawa Senators roster moves
Waivers, claims, injured-reserve placements, assignments to the minors and signings in the last 45 days, as the club announced them (Sportradar NHL API v7, league transfers feed; licensed feed (30-day trial)). Facts, not inferences: no cause is read into an injured-reserve placement, and what each move does to the cap lives on the cap table.
Cameron Crotty
Artem Zub
Hoyt Stanley
Jorian Donovan
Cameron Crotty
Jorian Donovan
William Eklund
Andre Burakovsky
Hoyt Stanley
Jonas Johansson
Jorian Donovan
Jonas Johansson
Ridly Greig
Andre Burakovsky
Jorian Donovan
Warren Foegele
Hoyt Stanley
Artem Zub
Jorian Donovan
Kurtis MacDermid
Warren Foegele
Ben Hutton
Vadim Zherenko
Luke Mistelbacher
Landen Hookey
Scott Harrington
Blake Vanek
Adam Nemec
Jaxon Cover
Louis-Felix Bourque
Christian Kyrou
Ryan Suzuki
Philippe Daoust
Xavier Bourgault
Tyler Boucher
Samuel Bolduc
Philip Tomasino
Samuel Blais
Kevin Reidler
Jackson Parsons
Lucas Ellinas
Gabriel Eliasson
Matthew Andonovski
Eskild Bakke Olsen
Tomas Hamara
Kasper Halttunen
Oskar Pettersson
Djibril Toure
Leevi Meriläinen
Jonas Johansson
Leevi Meriläinen
Injury listings · as of 2026-10-18
Ottawa Senators injury listings
What the club has published (Sportradar NHL API v7, league injuries feed; licensed feed (30-day trial)): status, body area, listed-since and expected-return dates. CapOrCup infers no cause from a listing and keeps its own availability measure, games not dressed, separate.
Waiver wire · last 3 league days
Placed on waivers, league-wide
Every player any club placed on waivers in the last three league days, with what the feed shows next: claimed, cleared to the minors, or nothing yet. A claim costs no assets, only a roster spot and the whole contract, and claiming priority follows the standings.
Jacob Bernard-Docker
Aatu Raty
Alex Barre-Boulet
Fit components (description)
Who fits here: fit: not yet validated
No ranking of who fits Ottawa Senators is shown until the move backtest passes. What follows describes how Ottawa Senators plays and is coached, and the roster rules any addition must clear. The lane-based matchmaker stays on the Assistant GM.
Head coach: , in charge since 2024-10-10 (167 regular-season games on file). Assistants: Not on file.
How this staff has used players (2025-26), against what position and prior minutes predict:
Contracts counted toward the 50 limit: . Active roster for the 23-man limit: Not on file.
as of 2026-04-16
Ottawa Senators
trades
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
Chicago Blackhawks receive
GM: Kyle Davidson
- 2027 6th-round pick · now owned by CHI
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
Toronto Maple Leafs receive
GM: John Chayka
- 2027 5th-round pick · now owned by TOR
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- William Eklund
- Kasper Halttunen
- Brandon Svoboda
San Jose Sharks receive
GM: Mike Grier
- 2026 1st-round pick ()
Florida Panthers receive
GM: Bill Zito
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- 2026 1st-round pick ()
- 2026 1st-round pick
- 2027 2nd-round pick · now owned by OTT
- 2029 1st-round pick · conditional · now owned by OTT
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- Riley Kidney
Montréal Canadiens receive
GM: Kent Hughes
- Hunter Shepard
- Jake Chiasson
Washington Capitals receive
GM: Chris Patrick
- Wyatt Bongiovanni
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- Graeme Clarke
Detroit Red Wings receive
GM: Steve Yzerman
- David Perron
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- 2026 4th-round pick · conditional
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- Warren Foegele
- 2026 3rd-round pick · conditional
Los Angeles Kings receive
GM: Ken Holland
- 2nd-round pick
- 2026 3rd-round pick · conditional
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
Philadelphia Flyers receive
GM: Daniel Briere
- Max Guenette
New Jersey Devils receive
GM: Tom Fitzgerald
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
Washington Capitals receive
GM: Chris Patrick
- 2025 3rd-round pick · No. 96
- 2027 7th-round pick · now owned by WSH
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- 2025 3rd-round pick · No. 93
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
Los Angeles Kings receive
GM: Ken Holland
- 2025 3rd-round pick · No. 67
- 2026 6th-round pick
Nashville Predators receive
GM: Barry Trotz
- 2025 1st-round pick · No. 21
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- 1st-round pick · No. 23
- 3rd-round pick · No. 67
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- Fabian Zetterlund
- Tristen Robins
- 2025 4th-round pick
San Jose Sharks receive
GM: Mike Grier
- Zack Ostapchuk
- Noah Gregor
- 2025 2nd-round pick
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- Dylan Cozens
- Dennis Gilbert
- 2026 2nd-round pick
Buffalo Sabres receive
GM: Kevyn Adams
Colorado Avalanche receive
GM: Chris MacFarland
- Kevin Mandolese
- 2026 7th-round pick
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- 2026 6th-round pick
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- Xavier Bourgault
- Jake Chiasson
Edmonton Oilers receive
- Roby Jarventie
- 2025 4th-round pick
Utah Mammoth receive
GM: Bill Armstrong
- Egor Sokolov
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
St. Louis Blues receive
GM: Doug Armstrong
- Mathieu Joseph
- 2025 3rd-round pick
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- Future considerations
Washington Capitals receive
GM: Brian MacLellan
Ottawa Senators receive
GM: Steve Staios
- Nick Jensen
- 2026 3rd-round pick
How the ledger is built
- 2024–25 onward: parsed from NHL.com's season trade pages, which list every trade. Each card links to the NHL.com announcement.
- 2019–20 to 2023–24: parsed from NHL.com trade announcements tagged to a club. Some trades are missing; those seasons are marked partial.
- "Details incomplete" means the announcement did not state one side; the original sentence is shown instead of a guess.
- Picks in 2027–2029 show their current owner from the verified pick ledger.
Statistical schedule · 2026-27 · as of 2026-10-18
Ottawa Senators: difficulty rank #3Range not available
Every game priced by the model with the club's rest state. Difficulty averages four league ranks (opponents , rest , travel , back-to-backs ); expected points is the model's own forecast and depends on the club as much as the schedule. League table on the schedule page.
By month: 2026-10: games, expected points, opponents , back-to-back; 2026-11: games, expected points, opponents , back-to-back; 2026-12: games, expected points, opponents , back-to-back; 2027-01: games, expected points, opponents , back-to-back; 2027-02: games, expected points, opponents , back-to-back; 2027-03: games, expected points, opponents , back-to-back; 2027-04: games, expected points, opponents , back-to-back.
Game by game
games
Price is the model's chance for this club at the morning of the game with rest known; it moves when rosters are published. The spot names what the schedule did to the club that night.